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PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (PBCRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $42.9B

PB PT Bank Central Asia Tbk logo PT Bank Central Asia Tbk PBCRY · US
Price$8.82
Fair Value$15.35
Upside+74.0%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 53.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.08% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $11.51 – $19.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 74% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.43 $6.65 Fair Value $15.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.65 – $16.43 · fair‑value band $11.51 – $19.19 · the $8.82 price screens below the $15.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (PBCRY) currently trades at $8.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.35, implying the stock looks roughly 74.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bank Central Asia Tbk generated revenue of $110T at a net margin of 53.5%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $88.5T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.51 (bear case) to $19.19 (bull case); at $8.82, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 65% fair-value upside, at 74%, PBCRY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $115,130 $153,507 $191,884 63
Residual Income $77,674 $103,154 $435,879 61
P/B Multiple $60,130 $80,173 $100,216 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $115,130 $153,507 $191,884 63
P/B Multiple $60,130 $80,173 $100,216 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $28,633 $38,368 $57,266 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $77,674 $103,154 $435,879 61

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($103,154) versus Asset-Based ($38,368). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $110T
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin 53.5%
Return on equity 23.0%
Free cash flow $60.0T FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.6600
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net cash $88.5T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides commercial banking and other financial services. The company offers time deposits, e- deposits, spinning, Dana Lander accounts, customer accounts, gold stage; loans, such as business, investment credit, securities collateral, multipurpose business, trade finance, business place loans; credit cards; and investment, including …

Full company description

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides commercial banking and other financial services. The company offers time deposits, e- deposits, spinning, Dana Lander accounts, customer accounts, gold stage; loans, such as business, investment credit, securities collateral, multipurpose business, trade finance, business place loans; credit cards; and investment, including mutual funds, and bond and secondary SBN. The company also provides collection account opening, remittance, trade finance, tresuries and custodians, transaction banking, electronic banking, cash management, bank assurance, credit facilities, bank guarantees, export-import facilities, and foreign exchange facilities. In addition, the company offers investment financing, working capital financing, multipurpose financing, operating leases, and other financing activities; Sharia banking; securities brokerage dealer and underwriter for issuance of securities; general or loss insurance; life insurance; and venture capital services. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Dwimuria Investama Andalan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk reported revenue of $128T in FY2025 versus $87.7T in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $58.0T in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$128T
Latest YoY
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+13.4%
Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 $87.7T
FY22 $95.5T
FY23 $110T
FY24 $111T
FY25 $128T
Net income +16.6%/yr
FY21 $31.4T
FY22 $40.7T
FY23 $48.6T
FY24 $54.8T
FY25 $58.0T

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Bank Central Asia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PBCRY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +74% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.99× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 13 · sector 44
PAST 92 · sector 41
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%
Woori Financial Group 316140 31,500 KRW 55,811 KRW +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (PBCRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.35 versus a price of $8.82, about +74% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PBCRY?
Our model-based fair value for PT Bank Central Asia Tbk is $15.35 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.82.
What is the quality score of PBCRY?
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (PBCRY)?
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PBCRY?
The net profit margin of PT Bank Central Asia Tbk is about 53.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 53.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT Bank Central Asia Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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