Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT $11.66, price $8.71, upside +33.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.65 – $16.43 · fair‑value band $7.31 – $14.58 · the $8.71 price screens below the $11.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides commercial banking and other financial services.
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PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides commercial banking and other financial services. The company offers time deposits, e- deposits, spinning, Dana Lander accounts, customer accounts, gold stage; loans, such as business, investment credit, securities collateral, multipurpose business, trade finance, business place loans; credit cards; and investment, including mutual funds, and bond and secondary SBN. The company also provides collection account opening, remittance, trade finance, tresuries and custodians, transaction banking, electronic banking, cash management, bank assurance, credit facilities, bank guarantees, export-import facilities, and foreign exchange facilities. In addition, the company offers investment financing, working capital financing, multipurpose financing, operating leases, and other financing activities; Sharia banking; securities brokerage dealer and underwriter for issuance of securities; general or loss insurance; life insurance; and venture capital services. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Dwimuria Investama Andalan.
Stock analysis
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR (PBCRY) currently trades at $8.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.66, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Scenario range: $7.31 (bear) to $14.58 (bull), the price of $8.71 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR reported revenue of 128T IDR in FY2025 versus 87.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 58.0T IDR in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $42.9B · P/E ratio 13.2 · P/S ratio 5.97 · EPS (TTM) $0.6600 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 45.2% · Return on equity 23.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 34%, PBCRY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.31Fair Value $11.66Bull $14.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4828 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 12%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39% → 56%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in IDR, Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.2% a year for the price and +1.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+34% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)53% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PBCRY
Frequently asked questions
Is Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.66 versus a price of $8.71, about +34% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PBCRY?
Our model-based fair value for Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is $11.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.71.
What is the quality score of PBCRY?
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.31, optimistic scenario $14.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.66, about +34% upside versus a price of $8.71 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.31, optimistic scenario $14.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 110T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR pay a dividend?
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -1.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PBCRY use?
Our models discount Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR that is -1.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR grew +8.3 % a year. The price currently implies -1.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR (-1.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.85 %: that much free cash flow Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR it is $11.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.71. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PBCRY trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.71, fair value $11.66, a gap of about +34% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PBCRY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.66). For Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR the two are $2.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR worth?
The market values Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR at about $42.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.71; our models calculate a fair value of $11.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PBCRY?
Our models span a range for Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR: cautious scenario $7.31, base $11.66, optimistic $14.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PBCRY?
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 1.5, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
What is the PEG ratio of PBCRY?
The PEG ratio of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is 1.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 23.0%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PBCRY from its 52-week high?
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR trades at $8.71, about 29% below its 52-week high of $12.33 and 31% above the low of $6.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.71, calculated fair value $11.66 (+34%), Quality Score 62/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PBCRY calculated?
We run Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.71. Our model-based fair value is $11.66, about +34% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR right now?
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($7.31 to $14.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY) come from?
Earnings per share at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR grew +12.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.9 %, EBIT margin +4.4 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The market capitalisation of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is $42.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is 5.97 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Earnings per share at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR are $0.6600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The dividend yield of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is 5.1% (payout 67.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The net margin of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is 45.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is 23.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Revenue at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY)?
Earnings per share at Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR are growing +3.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Bank Central Asia Tbk PT (PBCRY) hold?
Bank Central Asia Tbk PT ADR holds more cash than debt, 88.5T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026