Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹310M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −33.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 32% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (₹28.92 to ₹55.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range ₹32.00 – ₹177.35 · fair‑value band ₹28.92 – ₹55.70 · the ₹32.00 price screens below the ₹42.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) currently trades at ₹32.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹42.28, implying the stock looks roughly 32.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Prospect Commodities Ltd generated revenue of ₹575M at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 55.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. Net debt stands at ₹101M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹28.92 (bear case) to ₹55.70 (bull case); at ₹32.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 32%, PCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹164.46) versus Asset-Based (₹35.00). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Notify me when PCL reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Prospect Consumer Products Limited engages in the processing and trading of cashew nuts and allied products in India. The company offers cashew nuts; and cashew by-products, including cashew husk, cashew husk pellets, and cashew shells. It sells its products under the DRIFRUTZ brand.
Full company description
Prospect Consumer Products Limited engages in the processing and trading of cashew nuts and allied products in India. The company offers cashew nuts; and cashew by-products, including cashew husk, cashew husk pellets, and cashew shells. It sells its products under the DRIFRUTZ brand. The company was formerly known as Prospect Commodities Limited and changed its name to Prospect Consumer Products Limited in October 2024. Prospect Consumer Products Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Prospect Commodities Ltd reported revenue of ₹575M in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹24.6M in FY2026.
Watch PCL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
Compare Prospect Commodities Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of PCL?
What is the quality score of PCL?
What is the revenue of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
What is the net profit margin of PCL?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Prospect Commodities Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.