Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Prospect Commodities Ltd ₹57.85, price ₹31.24, upside +85.2%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range ₹31.24 – ₹177.35 · fair‑value band ₹33.53 – ₹72.30 · the ₹31.24 price screens below the ₹57.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Prospect Consumer Products Limited engages in the processing and trading of cashew nuts and allied products in India. The company offers cashew nuts; and cashew by-products, including cashew husk, cashew husk pellets, and cashew shells. It sells its products under the DRIFRUTZ brand.
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Prospect Consumer Products Limited engages in the processing and trading of cashew nuts and allied products in India. The company offers cashew nuts; and cashew by-products, including cashew husk, cashew husk pellets, and cashew shells. It sells its products under the DRIFRUTZ brand. The company was formerly known as Prospect Commodities Limited and changed its name to Prospect Consumer Products Limited in October 2024. Prospect Consumer Products Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) currently trades at ₹31.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹57.85, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹222.82 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹31.24 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹35.00, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹33.53 (bear) to ₹72.30 (bull), the price of ₹31.24 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Prospect Commodities Ltd reported revenue of ₹575M in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹24.6M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹192M (≈ $2.0M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.01 · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 85%, PCL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹33.53Fair Value ₹57.85Bull ₹72.30
Price ₹31.24 · Upside +85.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.05 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+85.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.5%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%
Compare Prospect Commodities Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 289 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+85.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.8% · Above median
Return on assets7.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth56.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹57.85 versus a price of ₹31.24, about +85% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PCL?
Our model-based fair value for Prospect Commodities Ltd is ₹57.85 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹31.24.
What is the quality score of PCL?
Prospect Commodities Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹57.85 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹33.53, optimistic scenario ₹72.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prospect Commodities Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹57.85, about +85% upside versus a price of ₹31.24 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹33.53, optimistic scenario ₹72.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Prospect Commodities Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹575M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prospect Commodities Ltd it is ₹57.85 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹31.24. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prospect Commodities Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, PCL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹31.24, fair value ₹57.85, a gap of about +85% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹31.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹57.85). For Prospect Commodities Ltd the two are ₹26.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prospect Commodities Ltd worth?
The market values Prospect Commodities Ltd at about ₹192M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹31.24; our models calculate a fair value of ₹57.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCL?
Our models span a range for Prospect Commodities Ltd: cautious scenario ₹33.53, base ₹57.85, optimistic ₹72.30 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹31.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PCL?
Prospect Commodities Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹57.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prospect Commodities Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCL from its 52-week high?
Prospect Commodities Ltd trades at ₹31.24, about 66% below its 52-week high of ₹92.59 and at the low of ₹31.24 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹57.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prospect Commodities Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prospect Commodities Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹31.24, calculated fair value ₹57.85 (+85%), Quality Score 32/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCL calculated?
We run Prospect Commodities Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹57.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Prospect Commodities Ltd currently trades 46 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹31.24. Our model-based fair value is ₹57.85, about +85% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prospect Commodities Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹33.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹33.53 to ₹72.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Prospect Commodities Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
The market capitalisation of Prospect Commodities Ltd is ₹192M (≈ $2.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prospect Commodities Ltd is 0.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Earnings per share at Prospect Commodities Ltd are ₹4.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
The net margin of Prospect Commodities Ltd is 4.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prospect Commodities Ltd is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prospect Commodities Ltd is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
The operating margin of Prospect Commodities Ltd is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Revenue at Prospect Commodities Ltd is growing +56.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +65.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL)?
Earnings per share at Prospect Commodities Ltd are growing −67.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Prospect Commodities Ltd is −₹56.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Prospect Commodities Ltd (PCL) carry?
The net debt of Prospect Commodities Ltd is ₹101M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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