Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp $0.47, price $4.39, upside -89.3%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.40 – $24.48 · fair‑value band $0.3600 – $0.5700 · the $4.39 price screens above the $0.4700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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PureCycle Technologies, Inc. engages in the production of recycled polypropylene (PP) in Thailand. The company holds a license for restoring waste PP into ultra-pure recycled PP resin, PureFive, which has various applications, including packaging and labeling for consumer products, textiles, and plastic parts for various industries.
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PureCycle Technologies, Inc. engages in the production of recycled polypropylene (PP) in Thailand. The company holds a license for restoring waste PP into ultra-pure recycled PP resin, PureFive, which has various applications, including packaging and labeling for consumer products, textiles, and plastic parts for various industries. Its recycling process separates color, odor, other plastics, and additives through a physical separation process. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Stock analysis
Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT) currently trades at $4.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4700, 89.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.5900 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $4.39 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3600 (bear) to $0.5700 (bull), the price of $4.39 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp reported revenue of $8.4M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$183M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $882M · P/S ratio 64.1 · EPS (TTM) $−1.47 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Return on equity −61.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.4% · Operating margin −916% · Revenue (TTM) $13.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −89%, PCT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3600Fair Value $0.4700Bull $0.5700
Price $4.39 · Upside -89.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (90 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 87 stocks
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Is Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4700 versus a price of $4.39, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PCT?
Our model-based fair value for Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is $0.4700 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.39.
What is the quality score of PCT?
Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4700 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $0.5700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4700, about −89% upside versus a price of $4.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $0.5700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp pay a dividend?
Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.28% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp it is $0.4700 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $4.39. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, PCT trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.39, fair value $0.4700, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4700). For Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp the two are $3.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp worth?
The market values Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp at about $882M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $4.39; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCT?
Our models span a range for Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp: cautious scenario $0.3600, base $0.4700, optimistic $0.5700 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $4.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −61.6%, debt of 7.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCT from its 52-week high?
Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp trades at $4.39, about 71% below its 52-week high of $15.13 and 2% above the low of $4.29 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, CECO Environmental Corp, Fujian Longking Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $4.39, calculated fair value $0.4700 (−89%), Quality Score 29/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCT calculated?
We run Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.39. Our model-based fair value is $0.4700, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
The market capitalisation of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is $882M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is 64.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
Earnings per share at Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp are $−1.47. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
The dividend yield of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is −61.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is −13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
The operating margin of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is −916% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT)?
Revenue at Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is growing +174% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT) generate?
The free cash flow of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is −$184M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp (PCT) carry?
The net debt of Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp is $619M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026