Service Properties Trust (SVC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.1B
Service Properties Trust
SVC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −4.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($2.43 to $7.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.17 – $11.51 · fair‑value band $2.43 – $7.87 · the $8.23 price screens above the $2.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Service Properties Trust (SVC) currently trades at $8.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.55, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Service Properties Trust generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of -13.6%. Revenue declined 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -38.6%. Net debt stands at $5.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.43 (bear case) to $7.87 (bull case); at $8.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -69%, SVC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.11) versus DCF Models ($0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Service Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust with approximately 10 billion dollars invested in two asset categories service-focused retail net lease properties and hotels. As of December 31, 2025, SVC owned 760 service-focused retail net lease properties with over 13.6 million square feet throughout the United States.
Full company description
Service Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust with approximately 10 billion dollars invested in two asset categories service-focused retail net lease properties and hotels. As of December 31, 2025, SVC owned 760 service-focused retail net lease properties with over 13.6 million square feet throughout the United States. As of December 31, 2025, SVC also owned 94 hotels with over 21,000 guest rooms throughout the United States and in Puerto Rico and Canada. SVC is managed by The RMR Group, a leading U.S. alternative asset management company with over 37 billion dollars in assets under management as of December 31, 2025, and 40 years of institutional experience in buying, selling, financing and operating commercial real estate. Service Properties Trust was established on February 07, 1995. Service Properties Trust is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Service Properties Trust reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$202M in FY2025.
SVC screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Service Properties (SVC) Meets Q2 FFO Estimates
- Service Properties Trust FFO of $0.43 in-line, revenue of $420.97M beats by $17.44M
- Service Properties Trust Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results
- Service Properties Trust declares $0.05 dividend
Peer Group
REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 90/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST | $24.50 | $16.49 | -33% |
| Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP | $133.09 | $48.74 | -63% |
| COVH COVH | €21.80 | €21.79 | -0% |
| Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE | $16.61 | $12.63 | -24% |
| Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK | $14.74 | $20.58 | +40% |
| DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH | $12.85 | $8.43 | -34% |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO | $11.74 | $2.52 | -79% |
| Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB | $19.09 | $25.37 | +33% |
| Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR | $21.49 | $11.63 | -46% |
| RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ | $12.34 | $8.28 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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