PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk (PEGE) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · ID · Market cap 312B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 20.70 IDR to 19.73 IDR (−4.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.66 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (18.80 IDR to 20.66 IDR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 67.00 IDR – 1,875 IDR · fair‑value band 18.80 IDR – 20.66 IDR · the 102.00 IDR price screens above the 19.73 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk (PEGE) currently trades at 102.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.73 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 80.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 86.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 49.4B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 18.80 IDR (bear case) to 20.66 IDR (bull case); at 102.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -81%, PEGE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (32.27 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (19.15 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk engages in the securities brokerage and underwriting services in Indonesia. It is also involved in general trading, services, development, and investment. The company was formerly known as PT Panca Global Securities Tbk and changed its name to PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk in March 2018.
Full company description
PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk engages in the securities brokerage and underwriting services in Indonesia. It is also involved in general trading, services, development, and investment. The company was formerly known as PT Panca Global Securities Tbk and changed its name to PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk in March 2018. PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk was founded in 1999 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Panca Global Kapital Tbk reported revenue of 12.7B IDR in FY2025 versus −84.0B IDR in FY2021. Reported net income was −35.4B IDR in FY2025.
PEGE screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 422 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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