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Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Patagonia Lithium Ltd stock A$0.05, price A$0.08, that is 40.6% below the price, quality 22 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000252314

PL Patagonia Lithium Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Patagonia Lithium Ltd

PL3 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 41% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 68% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0469 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 22/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −8.3 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/6)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Small free float
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2300 A$0.0340 Fair Value A$0.0469 Jan 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

46‑month range A$0.0340 – A$0.2300 · fair‑value band A$0.0393 – A$0.0545 · the A$0.0790 price screens above the A$0.0469 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Patagonia Lithium Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Argentina and Brazil. It explores lithium, borates, niobium, spodumene, and rare earth metals.

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The company's flagship project is the Formentera project covering an area of approximately 1,752 hectares located in Paso Salar, Jujuy Province. Patagonia Lithium Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3) currently trades at A$0.0790, while our estimate is A$0.0469, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0393 (bear) to A$0.0545 (bull), the price of A$0.0790 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Patagonia Lithium Ltd reported revenue of A$13.4K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$1.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$25.9M (≈ $17.8M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −20.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.1% (4-year average) · Operating margin −8,559% · Revenue (TTM) A$26.5K · Revenue growth (YoY) −67.9% · Free cash flow −A$1.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −41%, PL3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0393 Fair Value A$0.0469 Bull A$0.0545
Price A$0.0790 · Downside -40.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 13
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 85
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 41
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 58
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PL3 screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Compare Patagonia Lithium Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −11.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −67.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs PL3
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs PL3
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs PL3
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs PL3
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs PL3
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs PL3
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs PL3
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs PL3
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs PL3
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs PL3

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Patagonia Lithium Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Patagonia Lithium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PL3

Frequently asked questions

Is Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0469 versus a price of A$0.0790, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PL3?
Our estimate for Patagonia Lithium Ltd is A$0.0469 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0790.
What is the quality score of PL3?
Patagonia Lithium Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0469 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0393, optimistic scenario A$0.0545. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Patagonia Lithium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0469, about 41% lower versus a price of A$0.0790 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0393, optimistic scenario A$0.0545. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
Patagonia Lithium Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$26.5K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Patagonia Lithium Ltd it is A$0.0469 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0790.
Is Patagonia Lithium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, PL3 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0790, fair value A$0.0469, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PL3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0790); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0469). For Patagonia Lithium Ltd the two are A$0.0321 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Patagonia Lithium Ltd worth?
The market values Patagonia Lithium Ltd at about A$25.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0790; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0469 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PL3?
Our models span a range for Patagonia Lithium Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0393, base A$0.0469, optimistic A$0.0545 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0790). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Patagonia Lithium Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −20.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PL3 from its 52-week high?
Patagonia Lithium Ltd trades at A$0.0790, about 66% below its 52-week high of A$0.2300 and 88% above the low of A$0.0420 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0469 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Patagonia Lithium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Patagonia Lithium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0790, calculated fair value A$0.0469 (−41%), Quality Score 22/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Patagonia Lithium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0790. Our estimate is A$0.0469, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Patagonia Lithium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0545). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Patagonia Lithium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
The market capitalisation of Patagonia Lithium Ltd is A$25.9M (≈ $17.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
Earnings per share at Patagonia Lithium Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Patagonia Lithium Ltd is −20.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Patagonia Lithium Ltd is −12.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
The operating margin of Patagonia Lithium Ltd is −8,559% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3)?
Revenue at Patagonia Lithium Ltd is growing −67.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3) generate?
The free cash flow of Patagonia Lithium Ltd is −A$1.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Patagonia Lithium Ltd (PL3) hold?
Patagonia Lithium Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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