Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kraken Robotics Inc stock C$0.31, price C$3.35, that is 90.6% below the price, quality 22 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2850 – C$10.23 · fair‑value band C$0.2295 – C$0.3485 · the C$3.35 price screens above the C$0.3145 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Kraken Robotics Inc., a marine technology company, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of sonar and optical sensors, batteries, and underwater robotic equipment for military and commercial applications. The company operates in two segments, Products and Services.
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The company offers Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS), a technology to perform imaging and bathymetric mapping; KATFISH Towed SAS, a synthetic aperture sonar towfish operates at speeds up to 10 knots providing increased area coverage rates; and SeaPower, a pressure tolerant deep-sea battery.
It also offers LiDAR Solutions that delivers precision inspection and monitoring of underwater assets and environments; Sub-Bottom Imaging services that deliver 3D data of subsea stratigraphy and hazards; Acoustic Core that provides a 3D image of stratigraphy layers and anomalies across the entire foundation footprint; and Towed SAS Survey services.
The company's products are used in military and commercial applications in Canada, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Kraken Sonar Inc. and changed its name to Kraken Robotics Inc. in September 2017.
Kraken Robotics Inc. is headquartered in Mount Pearl, Canada.
Stock analysis
Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG) currently trades at C$3.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3145, 91% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.3900 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the C$3.35 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.2700, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.2295 (bear) to C$0.3485 (bull), the price of C$3.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kraken Robotics Inc reported revenue of C$102M in FY2025 versus C$25.6M in FY2021, a compound +41.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$1.2B (≈ $878M) Small · P/S ratio 13.1 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0200 · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin −7.3% · Revenue (TTM) C$109M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −91%, PNG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (C$0.1300 to C$3.34). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
BearC$0.2295Fair Value C$0.3145BullC$0.3485
Price C$3.35 · Downside -90.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPVC$0.4200C$0.4500C$0.460074
Residual IncomeC$0.3500C$0.3700C$0.410074
ROIC CompounderC$0.4200C$0.4500C$0.460070
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddC$0.0500C$0.3700C$0.510061
Lynch FVC$0.1900C$0.2700C$0.350059
PEG = 1.0C$0.1900C$0.2700C$0.350055
EPVC$0.4200C$0.4500C$0.460074
Multiples
P/E MultipleC$0.1600C$0.2200C$0.270063
P/S MultipleC$0.1000C$0.1300C$0.160058
P/B MultipleC$2.50C$3.34C$4.1755
EV/EBITC$0.4000C$0.5400C$0.670066
EV/EBITDAC$0.6200C$0.8400C$1.0567
EV/RevenueC$0.1900C$0.2800C$0.370053
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)C$0.2400C$0.3600C$0.450055
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeC$0.3500C$0.3700C$0.410074
ROIC CompounderC$0.4200C$0.4500C$0.460070
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EC$0.2700C$0.3900C$0.510065
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +49.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−4.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−39% → 8%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 158 stocks
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Is Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3145 versus a price of C$3.35, about 91% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PNG?
Our model-based fair value for Kraken Robotics Inc is C$0.3145 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$3.35.
What is the quality score of PNG?
Kraken Robotics Inc has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3145 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.2295, optimistic scenario C$0.3485. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kraken Robotics Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3145, about 91% lower versus a price of C$3.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.2295, optimistic scenario C$0.3485. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
Kraken Robotics Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$109M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kraken Robotics Inc it is C$0.3145 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of C$3.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kraken Robotics Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, PNG trades above its calculated fair value: price C$3.35, fair value C$0.3145, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PNG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$3.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3145). For Kraken Robotics Inc the two are C$3.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kraken Robotics Inc worth?
The market values Kraken Robotics Inc at about C$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is C$3.35; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3145 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PNG?
Our models span a range for Kraken Robotics Inc: cautious scenario C$0.2295, base C$0.3145, optimistic C$0.3485 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price C$3.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kraken Robotics Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −4.3%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PNG from its 52-week high?
Kraken Robotics Inc trades at C$3.35, about 67% below its 52-week high of C$10.23 and at the low of C$3.35 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3145 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kraken Robotics Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Coherent Corp, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kraken Robotics Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price C$3.35, calculated fair value C$0.3145 (−91%), Quality Score 22/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PNG calculated?
We run Kraken Robotics Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.3145, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Kraken Robotics Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was C$3.35. Our model-based fair value is C$0.3145, about 91% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kraken Robotics Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.3485). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Kraken Robotics Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
The market capitalisation of Kraken Robotics Inc is C$1.2B (≈ $878M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kraken Robotics Inc is 13.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
Earnings per share at Kraken Robotics Inc are C$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
The net margin of Kraken Robotics Inc is −6.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kraken Robotics Inc is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kraken Robotics Inc is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
The operating margin of Kraken Robotics Inc is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG)?
Revenue at Kraken Robotics Inc is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG) generate?
The free cash flow of Kraken Robotics Inc is −C$28.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kraken Robotics Inc (PNG) carry?
The net debt of Kraken Robotics Inc is C$6.4M (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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