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Pola Orbis Holdings (PORBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.7B

PO Pola Orbis Holdings logo Pola Orbis Holdings PORBF · US
Price$7.70
Fair Value$5.58
Upside-27.5%
Quality71/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range $4.18 – $6.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $7.16 to $5.58 (−22.1%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$37.82 $7.70 Fair Value $5.58 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.70 – $37.82 · fair‑value band $4.18 – $6.97 · the $7.70 price screens above the $5.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Pola Orbis Holdings (PORBF) currently trades at $7.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.58, implying the stock looks roughly 27.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pola Orbis Holdings generated revenue of $170B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $58.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.18 (bear case) to $6.97 (bull case); at $7.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -28%, PORBF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $5.27 $6.27 $7.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.27 $6.97 $9.05 74
ROIC Compounder $4.34 $4.72 $5.10 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.16 $6.21 $7.99 38
Owner Earnings $4.95 $5.95 $7.62 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.27 $6.87 $9.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.34 $8.73 $11.90 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.21 $6.79 $8.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.11 $6.22 $7.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.79 $7.27 $8.84 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.17 $6.17 $7.11 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.81 $2.21 $2.48 54
EPV $4.34 $4.70 $5.00 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.19 $5.58 $6.98 63
P/S Multiple $3.39 $4.52 $5.65 58
P/B Multiple $3.39 $4.52 $5.65 55
EV/EBIT $7.29 $9.16 $11.03 53
EV/EBITDA $8.20 $10.38 $12.55 54
EV/Revenue $5.68 $7.40 $9.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.29 $3.06 $4.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.27 $6.27 $7.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.27 $6.97 $9.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.37 $3.38 $3.14 61
ROIC Compounder $4.34 $4.72 $5.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.96 $4.22 $5.49 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($6.27) versus Earnings-Based ($2.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $170B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.2%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow $15.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 28.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.2700
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +87.8%
Net cash $58.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pola Orbis Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells cosmetics and related products in Japan, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Beauty Care, Real Estate, and Others segments. The company offers beauty and health products under the POLA, ORBIS, Jurlique, THREE, DECENCIA, and FUJIMI brand names.

Full company description

Pola Orbis Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells cosmetics and related products in Japan, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Beauty Care, Real Estate, and Others segments. The company offers beauty and health products under the POLA, ORBIS, Jurlique, THREE, DECENCIA, and FUJIMI brand names. It is also involved in the leasing of office buildings in urban areas, as well as management and operation of buildings. Pola Orbis Holdings Inc. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pola Orbis Holdings reported revenue of $170B in FY2025 versus $179B in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $9.5B in FY2025, compounding −5.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$170B
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
−1.0%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 $179B
FY22 $166B
FY23 $173B
FY24 $170B
FY25 $170B
Net income −5.2%/yr
FY21 $11.7B
FY22 $11.4B
FY23 $9.7B
FY24 $9.3B
FY25 $9.5B

PORBF screens 28% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pola Orbis Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PORBF

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 27 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 88 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pola Orbis Holdings (PORBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.58 versus a price of $7.70, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PORBF?
Our model-based fair value for Pola Orbis Holdings is $5.58 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.70.
What is the quality score of PORBF?
Pola Orbis Holdings has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pola Orbis Holdings (PORBF)?
Pola Orbis Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $170B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PORBF?
The net profit margin of Pola Orbis Holdings is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pola Orbis Holdings pay a dividend?
Pola Orbis Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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