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Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Prairie Provident Resources Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · CA · ISIN CA73965Q1028

PP Thin data Jun 23, 2026

Prairie Provident Resources Inc

PPR · TO

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value C$0.8075 · Strongly undervalued (+131%)
!Quality 7/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -29.6% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$9.45 C$0.2650 Fair Value C$0.8075 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.2650 – C$9.45 · fair‑value band C$0.6035 – C$1.00 · the C$0.3500 price screens below the C$0.8075 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Prairie Provident Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Canada.

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Prairie Provident Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Canada. Its principal properties comprise its 78%-owned Michichi Area covering an area of 188,028 gross acres located northeast of Calgary in southeastern Alberta; and its 90%-owned Princess Area covering an area of 18,612 gross acres located northwest of Medicine Hat in southern Alberta. Prairie Provident Resources Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) currently trades at C$0.3500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.8075, implying the stock looks roughly 56.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.6035 (bear) to C$1.00 (bull), the price of C$0.3500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 7/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Prairie Provident Resources Inc reported revenue of C$36.9M in FY2025 versus C$74.8M in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −C$14.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$16.0M (≈ $11.3M) · P/S ratio 0.46 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.2300 · Net margin −38.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% · Operating margin −27.2% · Revenue (TTM) C$36.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) −0.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 131%, PPR screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 7/100

Of which business quality 11 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−66.2% (2020) → −28.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 7 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +131% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −27% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 6.24× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $129.34 $90.15 −30%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.84 HK$39.90 +67%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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C$0.8075 +57%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prairie Provident Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PPR

Frequently asked questions

Is Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.8075 versus a price of C$0.3500, about +131% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PPR?
Our model-based fair value for Prairie Provident Resources Inc is C$0.8075 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.3500.
What is the quality score of PPR?
Prairie Provident Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 7/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.8075 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.6035, optimistic scenario C$1.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prairie Provident Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.8075, about +131% upside versus a price of C$0.3500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.6035, optimistic scenario C$1.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Prairie Provident Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$36.9M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prairie Provident Resources Inc it is C$0.8075 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.3500. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prairie Provident Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, PPR trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.3500, fair value C$0.8075, a gap of about +131% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.3500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.8075). For Prairie Provident Resources Inc the two are C$0.4575 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prairie Provident Resources Inc worth?
The market values Prairie Provident Resources Inc at about C$16.0M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.3500; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.8075 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPR?
Our models span a range for Prairie Provident Resources Inc: cautious scenario C$0.6035, base C$0.8075, optimistic C$1.00 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price C$0.3500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PPR?
The PEG ratio of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is 6.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Jun 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prairie Provident Resources Inc (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 7/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PPR from its 52-week high?
Prairie Provident Resources Inc trades at C$0.3500, about 66% below its 52-week high of C$1.02 and 32% above the low of C$0.2650 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.8075 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prairie Provident Resources Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prairie Provident Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price C$0.3500, calculated fair value C$0.8075 (+131%), Quality Score 7/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPR calculated?
We run Prairie Provident Resources Inc through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.8075, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Prairie Provident Resources Inc currently trades 131 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$0.3500. Our model-based fair value is C$0.8075, about +131% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prairie Provident Resources Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (7/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.6035). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Prairie Provident Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
The market capitalisation of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is C$16.0M (≈ $11.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is 0.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Earnings per share at Prairie Provident Resources Inc are C$−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
The net margin of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is −38.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
The operating margin of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is −27.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Revenue at Prairie Provident Resources Inc is growing −0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR)?
Earnings per share at Prairie Provident Resources Inc are growing −87.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) generate?
The free cash flow of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is −C$28.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) carry?
The net debt of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is C$44.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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