Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Prairie Provident Resources Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Below-average quality, trading 57% below our fair value of C$0.8075.
As of Jun 23, 2026, the fair value of Prairie Provident Resources Inc is C$0.8075 per share against a price of C$0.3450, so the fair value sits 134% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 78 days ago
Share price −29.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (7/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.6035). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2650 – C$9.45 · fair‑value band C$0.6035 – C$1.00 · the C$0.3450 price screens below the C$0.8075 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Prairie Provident Resources Inc (PPR) currently trades at C$0.3450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.8075, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 7/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Prairie Provident Resources Inc generated revenue of C$36.9M at a net margin of −38.1%. Revenue declined 26.9% year over year. Net debt stands at C$44.4M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Scenario range: C$0.6035 (bear) to C$1.00 (bull), the price of C$0.3450 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 134%, PPR screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 11 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Prairie Provident Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Canada.
Full company description
Prairie Provident Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Canada. Its principal properties comprise its 78%-owned Michichi Area covering an area of 188,028 gross acres located northeast of Calgary in southeastern Alberta; and its 90%-owned Princess Area covering an area of 18,612 gross acres located northwest of Medicine Hat in southern Alberta. Prairie Provident Resources Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Prairie Provident Resources Inc reported revenue of C$36.9M in FY2025 versus C$74.8M in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −C$14.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 294 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: Canadian Stocks
- Valuation of the Canada market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥33.41 | ¥32.55 | −3% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $134.26 | $90.15 | −33% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | C$69.78 | C$44.78 | −36% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $145.19 | $132.20 | −9% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $60.04 | $30.06 | −50% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $199.22 | $105.24 | −47% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $48.06 | $27.06 | −44% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.55 | A$20.71 | −36% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $55.12 | $42.85 | −22% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $366.50 | $77.26 | −79% |
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