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PeptiDream Inc (PPTDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $768M

PI PeptiDream Inc logo PeptiDream Inc PPTDF · US
Price$6.00
Fair Value$6.41
Upside+6.8%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 21.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/9)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Low Range $4.23 – $8.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $11.20 to $6.41 (−42.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.23 to $8.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$60.33 $5.88 Fair Value $6.41 Mar 2016 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.88 – $60.33 · fair‑value band $4.23 – $8.01 · the $6.00 price screens below the $6.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PeptiDream Inc (PPTDF) currently trades at $6.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.41, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PeptiDream Inc generated revenue of $5.7B at a net margin of 21.8%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.23 (bear case) to $8.01 (bull case); at $6.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 7%, PPTDF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.78 $6.41 $9.56 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.78 $6.41 $9.56 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.6%
Net margin 21.8%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow −$14.9B FY2025
Operating margin -23.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1800
EPS growth (YoY) +352%
Net cash $11.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PeptiDream Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of constrained peptides, small molecules, and peptide-drug conjugate therapeutics.

Full company description

PeptiDream Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of constrained peptides, small molecules, and peptide-drug conjugate therapeutics. The company develops its products based on its Peptide Discovery Platform System, a drug discovery platform that integrates the technologies to synthesize highly diverse macrocyclic peptide libraries and screen for hit compounds, as well as enables rapid and efficient identification of novel hit compounds with high potency and selectivity for protein targets in drug discovery campaigns. It is developing 64Cu-ATSM indicated for malignant brain tumor; and 177Lu/64Cu-PSMA I&T indicated for prostate cancer that are in phase 3 clinical phase development stage, as well as GhR Antagonist indicated for acromegaly that is in phase 2 clinical phase development stage. The company also develops 225Ac/68Ga-GPC3 indicated for hepatocellular carcinoma; 177Lu/68Ga-FAP indicated for pancreatic, lung, breast, colon cancer; 225Ac/64Cu-CA9 indicated for renal cell carcinoma; 18F-PD-L1 indicated for cancer; CD38-ARM indicated for multiple myeloma; S2-protein inhibitors indicated for COVID-19; and merck that are in phase 1 clinical phase development stage. In addition, it develops novartis and rayzeBio indicated for cancer, 225Ac/64Cu-CLDN18.2 indicated for stomach cancer, 225Ac/177Lu/64Cu/68Ga-CDH3 indicated for head and neck cancer, KIT inhibitors indicated for allergic diseases, oral myostatin inhibitors indicated for obesity/muscle disease, and Oral IL-17A/F inhibitors indicated for inflammatory diseases such as psoriasis that are currently under preclinical development stage. Further, the company involved in research, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceuticals in the fields of radiopharmaceuticals (RI) and non-RI. PeptiDream Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Kawasaki, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PeptiDream Inc reported revenue of $18.5B in FY2025 versus $9.4B in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.8B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$18.5B
Latest YoY
−60.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+35.3%
Revenue +18.6%/yr
FY21 $9.4B
FY22 $26.9B
FY23 $28.7B
FY24 $46.7B
FY25 $18.5B
Net income
FY21 $3.6B
FY22 $7.6B
FY23 $3.0B
FY24 $15.0B
FY25 −$3.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PeptiDream Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PPTDF

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +7% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 0
FUTURE 63 · sector 0
PAST 31 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PeptiDream Inc (PPTDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.41 versus a price of $6.00, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PPTDF?
Our model-based fair value for PeptiDream Inc is $6.41 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.00.
What is the quality score of PPTDF?
PeptiDream Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PeptiDream Inc (PPTDF)?
PeptiDream Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PPTDF?
The net profit margin of PeptiDream Inc is about 21.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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