PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Mitra Pack Tbk stock IDR 34, price IDR 40, upside -14.6%, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range 39.00 IDR – 300.71 IDR · fair‑value band 22.61 IDR – 51.42 IDR · the 40.00 IDR price screens above the 34.18 IDR fair value. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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PT Mitra Pack Tbk offers coding, marking, labeling, product inspection system, and food packaging solutions in Indonesia.
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The company provides coding and marking solutions, including laser marking, print and apply labelling, drop on demand (DOD), continuous inkjet, thermal transfer, and thermal inkjet solutions; production inspection systems, such as metal detectors, X-ray scanners, and checkweighers; pouch filling-sealing machines; and blister packaging machines.
It also offers embossed and plain/polos vacuum bag; industrial and horeca slicer; price weigh labeller; and thermoforming machines.
In addition, the company offers thermal transfer ribbons, other spareparts, CIJ inks, inkroll/touch dry products, TIJ inks, hot foil ribbons, thermoforming films, POF shrink films, and vacuum shrink bags.
Further, it provides support services, such as training facilities/service centers, installation and commissioning, readystock spareparts, and maintenance service contracts. The company serves dairy, beverage, food, pharmaceutical/personal care, stationery, and e-commerce/logistics industries.
PT Mitra Pack Tbk was founded in 2000 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Mitra Pack Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Kencana Usaha Sentosa.
Stock analysis
PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP) currently trades at 40.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.18 IDR, 14.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 35.57 IDR per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the 40.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6.32 IDR, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 22.61 IDR (bear) to 51.42 IDR (bull), the price of 40.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
PT Mitra Pack Tbk reported revenue of 208B IDR in FY2025 versus 119B IDR in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −55.7B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 127B IDR (≈ $7.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) −16.04 IDR · Net margin −25.2% · Return on equity −27.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 19.6% · Revenue (TTM) 202B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −15%, PTMP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear22.61 IDRFair Value 34.18 IDRBull51.42 IDR
Price 40.00 IDR · Upside -14.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.3% (2020) → −30.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−14.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−20.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−25.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)19.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Is PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34.18 IDR versus a price of 40.00 IDR, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTMP?
Our model-based fair value for PT Mitra Pack Tbk is 34.18 IDR (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 40.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PTMP?
PT Mitra Pack Tbk has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 34.18 IDR (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 22.61 IDR, optimistic scenario 51.42 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Mitra Pack Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 34.18 IDR, about −15% upside versus a price of 40.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 22.61 IDR, optimistic scenario 51.42 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
PT Mitra Pack Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 202B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Mitra Pack Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +25.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.4 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTMP use?
Our models discount PT Mitra Pack Tbk at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Mitra Pack Tbk that is +25.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Mitra Pack Tbk grew +15.4 % a year. The price currently implies +25.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Mitra Pack Tbk (+25.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.72 %: that much free cash flow PT Mitra Pack Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Mitra Pack Tbk it is 34.18 IDR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of 40.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Mitra Pack Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, PTMP trades above its calculated fair value: price 40.00 IDR, fair value 34.18 IDR, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTMP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (40.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (34.18 IDR). For PT Mitra Pack Tbk the two are 5.82 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Mitra Pack Tbk worth?
The market values PT Mitra Pack Tbk at about 127B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is 40.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 34.18 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTMP?
Our models span a range for PT Mitra Pack Tbk: cautious scenario 22.61 IDR, base 34.18 IDR, optimistic 51.42 IDR per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price 40.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Mitra Pack Tbk (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −27.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTMP from its 52-week high?
PT Mitra Pack Tbk trades at 40.00 IDR, about 58% below its 52-week high of 95.00 IDR and 3% above the low of 39.00 IDR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 34.18 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Mitra Pack Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Mitra Pack Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price 40.00 IDR, calculated fair value 34.18 IDR (−15%), Quality Score 29/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTMP calculated?
We run PT Mitra Pack Tbk through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 34.18 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Mitra Pack Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 40.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 34.18 IDR, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Mitra Pack Tbk right now?
A fairly wide model range (22.61 IDR to 51.42 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of PT Mitra Pack Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The market capitalisation of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is 127B IDR (≈ $7.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is 0.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
Earnings per share at PT Mitra Pack Tbk are −16.04 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The net margin of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is −25.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is −27.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
The operating margin of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
Revenue at PT Mitra Pack Tbk is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP)?
Earnings per share at PT Mitra Pack Tbk are growing +11.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP) carry?
The net debt of PT Mitra Pack Tbk is 41.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 24, 2026