Cavvy Energy Ltd (PTOAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $371M
Cavvy Energy Ltd
PTOAF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +17.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3485). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.0697 to $0.3485). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1000 – $1.54 · fair‑value band $0.0697 – $0.3485 · the $1.32 price screens above the $0.3485 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Cavvy Energy Ltd (PTOAF) currently trades at $1.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3485, implying the stock looks roughly 73.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cavvy Energy Ltd generated revenue of $244M at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue grew 44.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.8%. Net debt stands at $149M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0697 (bear case) to $0.3485 (bull case); at $1.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -74%, PTOAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.4700) versus Multiples ($0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cavvy Energy Ltd. operates as a midstream and upstream energy company in Canada. It produces and processes natural gas, natural gas liquids, condensate, and sulphur in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Pieridae Energy Limited and changed its name to Cavvy Energy Ltd. in May 2025. Cavvy Energy Ltd.
Full company description
Cavvy Energy Ltd. operates as a midstream and upstream energy company in Canada. It produces and processes natural gas, natural gas liquids, condensate, and sulphur in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Pieridae Energy Limited and changed its name to Cavvy Energy Ltd. in May 2025. Cavvy Energy Ltd. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cavvy Energy Ltd reported revenue of $218M in FY2025 versus $335M in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.9M in FY2025.
PTOAF screens 74% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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