Petrosea Tbk (PTRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Petrosea Tbk is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 39.0T IDR (≈ $3.9B) · ISIN ID1000122401
At a glance
PTPetrosea TbkPTRO · JK
Price5,425 IDR
Fair Value605.62 IDR
Upside−88.8%
Quality29/100
Below-average quality, and trading another 796% above our fair value of 605.62 IDR.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Petrosea Tbk is 605.62 IDR per share against a price of 5,425 IDR, so the fair value sits 89% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +20.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: LowRange 423.93 IDR to 787.30 IDR
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (787.30 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
A fairly wide model range (423.93 IDR to 787.30 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 133.88 IDR – 12,900 IDR · fair‑value band 423.93 IDR – 787.30 IDR · the 5,425 IDR price screens above the 605.62 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Petrosea Tbk (PTRO) currently trades at 5,425 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 605.62 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 796.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 890.61 IDR per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 5,425 IDR price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 356.25 IDR, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Petrosea Tbk generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 84.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at $751M. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: 423.93 IDR (bear) to 787.30 IDR (bull), the price of 5,425 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −89%, PTRO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (36.07 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence356.25 IDR534.37 IDR890.61 IDR73
Growth-Adj P/E534.37 IDR712.49 IDR890.61 IDR68
Gordon GGM178.12 IDR356.25 IDR534.37 IDR67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd356.25 IDR1,247 IDR1,781 IDR64
Lynch FV356.25 IDR356.25 IDR534.37 IDR61
PEG = 1.0356.25 IDR356.25 IDR534.37 IDR57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM178.12 IDR356.25 IDR534.37 IDR67
DDM Multi-Stage178.12 IDR356.25 IDR356.25 IDR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple712.49 IDR890.61 IDR1,069 IDR63
P/S Multiple712.49 IDR890.61 IDR1,069 IDR58
P/B Multiple712.49 IDR890.61 IDR1,069 IDR55
EV/EBITn/an/a178.12 IDR61
EV/EBITDA890.61 IDR1,425 IDR2,137 IDR65
EV/Revenuen/an/a178.12 IDR50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)178.12 IDR356.25 IDR534.37 IDR52
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence356.25 IDR534.37 IDR890.61 IDR73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E534.37 IDR712.49 IDR890.61 IDR68
Widest divergence: Multiples (890.61 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (356.25 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (73).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio103.2
P/S ratio3.35P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)52.59 IDRprice ÷ EPS = P/E 103.2
Net margin3.2%FY2025
Return on equity12.6%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)6.2%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin8.6%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$1.0BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+84.2%3y avg +22.5%
EPS growth (YoY)+50.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$377MFY2025
Net debt$751MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality29/100
Of which business quality 29
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Profitability29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance0
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Petrosea Tbk provides engineering, construction, mining, and other services to the oil and gas, infrastructure, and industrial and manufacturing in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through four segments: Mining, Services, Engineering and Construction, and EPCI-offshore oil and gas.
Full company description
PT Petrosea Tbk provides engineering, construction, mining, and other services to the oil and gas, infrastructure, and industrial and manufacturing in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through four segments: Mining, Services, Engineering and Construction, and EPCI-offshore oil and gas. The Mining segment provides mining contract services, including overburden stripping, drilling, blasting, lifting, hauling, mine, and mine partnering services, as well as engages in the sale of coal. The Services segment offers supply base facilities and port services. The Engineering and Construction segment provides a range of engineering, procurement, and construction services, as well as equipment hire services. This segment also supplies skilled trade personnel. The EPCI-offshore oil and gas segment provides engineering, procurement, construction, and installation services to the offshore oil and gas sector, including subsea pipeline installation, platform construction, subsea structure works, and marine infrastructure support. The company also provides investment, agriculture, processing industry, trading, port management, port operation, transportation, contracting and rendering, and warehouse services, as well as geology solutions. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Petrosea Tbk reported revenue of $876M in FY2025 versus $416M in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was $28.5M in FY2025, compounding −4.2%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$876M
Latest YoY
+26.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−38.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−38.6%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −38.6% vs 10Y 2.4%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13.3% (2020) → 4.7% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop157% (2015) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 41
PAST50· sector 0
HEALTH0· sector 96
DIVIDEND0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 605.62 IDR versus a price of 5,425 IDR, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTRO?
Our model-based fair value for Petrosea Tbk is 605.62 IDR (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5,425 IDR.
What is the quality score of PTRO?
Petrosea Tbk has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrosea Tbk (PTRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 605.62 IDR (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 423.93 IDR, optimistic scenario 787.30 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrosea Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 605.62 IDR, about −89% upside versus a price of 5,425 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 423.93 IDR, optimistic scenario 787.30 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrosea Tbk (PTRO)?
Petrosea Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTRO?
The net profit margin of Petrosea Tbk is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Petrosea Tbk (PTRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrosea Tbk it is 605.62 IDR per share (as of Sep 8, 2026), against a price of 5,425 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petrosea Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 8, 2026, PTRO trades above its calculated fair value: price 5,425 IDR, fair value 605.62 IDR, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5,425 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (605.62 IDR). For Petrosea Tbk the two are 4,819 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrosea Tbk worth?
The market values Petrosea Tbk at about 39.0T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 8, 2026). Per share that is 5,425 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 605.62 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTRO?
Our models span a range for Petrosea Tbk: cautious scenario 423.93 IDR, base 605.62 IDR, optimistic 787.30 IDR per share (as of Sep 8, 2026, price 5,425 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PTRO?
Petrosea Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.2 (as of Sep 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 605.62 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 14.9, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 23.7.
What is the PEG ratio of PTRO?
The PEG ratio of Petrosea Tbk is 1.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrosea Tbk (PTRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrosea Tbk (as of Sep 8, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 2.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTRO from its 52-week high?
Petrosea Tbk trades at 5,425 IDR, about 58% below its 52-week high of 13,000 IDR and 116% above the low of 2,510 IDR (as of Sep 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 605.62 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrosea Tbk?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrosea Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 8, 2026: price 5,425 IDR, calculated fair value 605.62 IDR (−89%), Quality Score 29/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTRO calculated?
We run Petrosea Tbk through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 605.62 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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