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Ragnar Metals Ltd (RAG) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$10.3M

RM Ragnar Metals Ltd RAG · AU
PriceA$0.0250
Fair ValueA$0.0700
Upside+180.0%
Quality47/100
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Strengths

Trades 180% below our fair value of A$0.0700
Highly profitable · 75.2% net margin
Ranks above peers (11/11)
Wide moat 81/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth
!negative free cash flow
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 75.2% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/11)
Wide moat 81/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0500 – A$0.0800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 56 days ago

Share price +25.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 180% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$3.19 A$0.0114 Fair Value A$0.0700 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0114 – A$3.19 · fair‑value band A$0.0500 – A$0.0800 · the A$0.0250 price screens below the A$0.0700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Ragnar Metals Ltd (RAG) currently trades at A$0.0250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 180.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ragnar Metals Ltd generated revenue of A$6.2M at a net margin of 75.2%. It earns a return on equity of 34.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.5. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0500 (bear case) to A$0.0800 (bull case); at A$0.0250, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 180%, RAG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$6.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1,173%
Net margin 75.2%
Return on equity 34.9%
Free cash flow −A$2.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.5
More key figures
Operating margin 90.8%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
Net cash A$874K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ragnar Metals Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Sweden and Western Australia. The company explores for nickel, gold, silver, copper, rare earth elements, lithium, and base metals. Ragnar Metals Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ragnar Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$1.2M in FY2025 versus A$100 in FY2021, a compound +950.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$306K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$1.2M
Latest YoY
+263.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+265.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+371.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Revenue +950.3%/yr
FY21 A$100
FY22 A$24.9K
FY23 A$5.3K
FY24 A$335K
FY25 A$1.2M
Net income
FY21 −A$910K
FY22 −A$1.2M
FY23 −A$647K
FY24 A$3.6M
FY25 −A$306K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ragnar Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAG

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 482 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside +180% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 91% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1173% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 25
PAST100 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 745.46 MXN -48%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$179.43 A$81.76 -54%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 216.56 MXN 173.04 MXN -20%
Vale S.A VALEN 233.40 MXN 139.49 MXN -40%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR -48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥19.00 ¥19.80 +4%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥70.43 ¥9.55 -86%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹573.00 ₹508.34 -11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 -74%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ragnar Metals Ltd (RAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0700 versus a price of A$0.0250, about +180% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RAG?
Our model-based fair value for Ragnar Metals Ltd is A$0.0700 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0250.
What is the quality score of RAG?
Ragnar Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ragnar Metals Ltd (RAG)?
Ragnar Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$6.2M (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAG?
The net profit margin of Ragnar Metals Ltd is about 75.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 75.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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