Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Raj Rayon Industries Limited ₹12.27, price ₹20.00, upside -38.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1.35 – ₹88.00 · fair‑value band ₹7.29 – ₹19.52 · the ₹20.00 price screens above the ₹12.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Raj Rayon Industries Limited manufactures and trades in polyester chips, and polyester and processed yarns in India. The company offers trilobal, cationic, cotluk, colored, fire retardant, anti-microbial, tri-lobal, and octa-lobal yarns.
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Raj Rayon Industries Limited manufactures and trades in polyester chips, and polyester and processed yarns in India. The company offers trilobal, cationic, cotluk, colored, fire retardant, anti-microbial, tri-lobal, and octa-lobal yarns. It also offers full dull, semi dull, doped dyed, micro filaments, non-intermingle, low/slight intermingle, and high intermingle yarns. In addition, the company provides partially oriented yarn and drawn textured yard. It also exports its products to Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Egypt, Guatemala, Iran, Mexico, Morocco, Peru, Poland, Spain, Syria, Thailand, Vietnam, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Raj Rayon Limited and changed its name to Raj Rayon Industries Limited in August 2010. Raj Rayon Industries Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD) currently trades at ₹20.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹12.27, 38.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹28.40 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹20.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹1.89, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹7.29 (bear) to ₹19.52 (bull), the price of ₹20.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Raj Rayon Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹11.8B in FY2026 versus ₹550K in FY2022, a compound +1,110.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹340M in FY2026, compounding −52.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹16.2B (≈ $168M) · P/E ratio 45.9 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.4300 · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 24.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −39%, RAJRILTD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹7.29Fair Value ₹12.27Bull ₹19.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2179 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+104.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+635.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−80.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−80.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−64,914% → 4%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +27.2% a year for the price.
Compare Raj Rayon Industries Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 335 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−38.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)24.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.96× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)45.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B10.34× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF29.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA26.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 1
PAST (return on equity)97· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)52· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Raj Rayon Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAJRILTD
Frequently asked questions
Is Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹12.27 versus a price of ₹20.00, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RAJRILTD?
Our model-based fair value for Raj Rayon Industries Limited is ₹12.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹20.00.
What is the quality score of RAJRILTD?
Raj Rayon Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹12.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹7.29, optimistic scenario ₹19.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Raj Rayon Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹12.27, about −39% upside versus a price of ₹20.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹7.29, optimistic scenario ₹19.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Raj Rayon Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹11.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Raj Rayon Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +32.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +635.0 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RAJRILTD use?
Our models discount Raj Rayon Industries Limited at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Raj Rayon Industries Limited that is +32.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Raj Rayon Industries Limited grew +635.0 % a year. The price currently implies +32.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Raj Rayon Industries Limited (+32.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.38 %: that much free cash flow Raj Rayon Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Raj Rayon Industries Limited it is ₹12.27 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹20.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Raj Rayon Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, RAJRILTD trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹20.00, fair value ₹12.27, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RAJRILTD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹20.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹12.27). For Raj Rayon Industries Limited the two are ₹7.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Raj Rayon Industries Limited worth?
The market values Raj Rayon Industries Limited at about ₹16.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹20.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹12.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RAJRILTD?
Our models span a range for Raj Rayon Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹7.29, base ₹12.27, optimistic ₹19.52 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹20.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RAJRILTD?
Raj Rayon Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.9 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹12.27 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.3, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 26.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Raj Rayon Industries Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 24.4%, debt of 0.96 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RAJRILTD from its 52-week high?
Raj Rayon Industries Limited trades at ₹20.00, about 27% below its 52-week high of ₹27.50 and 2% above the low of ₹19.55 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹12.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Raj Rayon Industries Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Raj Rayon Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹20.00, calculated fair value ₹12.27 (−39%), Quality Score 44/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RAJRILTD calculated?
We run Raj Rayon Industries Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹12.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Raj Rayon Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹20.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹12.27, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Raj Rayon Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹19.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹7.29 to ₹19.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Raj Rayon Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The market capitalisation of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is ₹16.2B (≈ $168M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is 1.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Earnings per share at Raj Rayon Industries Limited are ₹0.4300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The net margin of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is 2.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is 24.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
The operating margin of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Revenue at Raj Rayon Industries Limited is growing −21.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +105%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD)?
Earnings per share at Raj Rayon Industries Limited are growing +12.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Raj Rayon Industries Limited (RAJRILTD) carry?
The net debt of Raj Rayon Industries Limited is ₹2.0B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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