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Raute Oyj (RAUTE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FI · Market cap €91.3M

RO Raute Oyj RAUTE · HE
Price€14.95
Fair Value€39.55
Upside+164.6%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range €29.43 – €53.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 165% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€29.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€29.43 to €53.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€21.23 €7.16 Fair Value €39.55 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €7.16 – €21.23 · fair‑value band €29.43 – €53.66 · the €14.95 price screens below the €39.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Raute Oyj (RAUTE) currently trades at €14.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €39.55, implying the stock looks roughly 164.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Raute Oyj generated revenue of €157M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 35.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €33.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €29.43 (bear case) to €53.66 (bull case); at €14.95, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 165%, RAUTE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €11.16 €15.11 €53.15 76
ROIC Compounder €22.16 €24.55 €26.80 72
Gordon GGM €3.89 €6.51 €8.45 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €27.46 €36.06 €46.99 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €14.79 €48.67 €65.08 54
Lynch FV €10.95 €15.64 €20.34 50
PEG = 1.0 €10.95 €15.64 €20.34 46
EPV €21.68 €23.49 €24.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €3.89 €6.51 €8.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage €3.89 €5.98 €7.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €34.27 €45.69 €57.11 63
P/S Multiple €27.74 €36.99 €46.23 58
P/B Multiple €27.74 €36.99 €46.23 55
EV/EBIT €43.53 €55.85 €68.18 53
EV/EBITDA €45.16 €58.03 €70.90 54
EV/Revenue €32.95 €44.25 €55.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.62 €6.19 €9.24 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €11.16 €15.11 €53.15 76
ROIC Compounder €22.16 €24.55 €26.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €28.89 €41.27 €53.66 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€44.25) versus Dividend Discount (€5.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €157M
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.5%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 19.5%
Free cash flow −€10.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.7
More key figures
Operating margin 8.3%
EPS (TTM) €1.76
EPS growth (YoY) -45.5%
Net cash €33.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Raute Oyj operates as a technology and service company that serves the wood products industry in Europe, Africa, Finland, North America, South America, Russia, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Wood Processing, Services, and Analyzers.

Full company description

Raute Oyj operates as a technology and service company that serves the wood products industry in Europe, Africa, Finland, North America, South America, Russia, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Wood Processing, Services, and Analyzers. The company offers machinery and equipment to produce veneer, plywood, and laminated veneer lumber (LVL). Its machines and lines are used for veneer peeling, drying, scarf-jointing, composing, and patching, as well as log handling; plywood; LVL lay-up and pressing, and billet handling; and panel handling. The company also provides analyzers for sorting veneer, plywood, and LVL; project deliveries, including individual machine or production line deliveries; and technology services, which include spare parts deliveries, regular maintenance, and equipment modernization, as well as consulting, training, reconditioned machinery and digital services. In addition, it offers MillSIGHTS software, a data collection management information system that converts production data into actionable insights. Raute Oyj was incorporated in 1908 and is headquartered in Nastola, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Raute Oyj reported revenue of €176M in FY2025 versus €142M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was €12.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€176M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 €142M
FY22 €158M
FY23 €145M
FY24 €205M
FY25 €176M
Net income
FY21 −€1.8M
FY22 −€11.5M
FY23 €1.4M
FY24 €12.1M
FY25 €12.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.3 pp

of which total revenue +5.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.9 pp

EBIT margin +1.2 pp
Tax rate −0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Raute Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RAUTE

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +165% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -36% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 5.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 78 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Raute Oyj (RAUTE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €39.55 versus a price of €14.95, about +165% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RAUTE?
Our model-based fair value for Raute Oyj is €39.55 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €14.95.
What is the quality score of RAUTE?
Raute Oyj has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Raute Oyj (RAUTE)?
Raute Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €157M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAUTE?
The net profit margin of Raute Oyj is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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