Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Rincon Resources Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.01, that is 17.7% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.2900 · the A$0.0130 price screens above the A$0.0107 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Rincon Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resources in Western Australia. The company explores for gold, copper, and other critical metal deposits.
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The company holds a 100% interest in the West Arunta project, consisting of a single granted exploration licence and three exploration licence applications covering approximately an area of 299 square kilometers located in the West Arunta Province of Western Australia; the South Telfer project consists of six exploration licences and two prospecting licences that cover an area approximately 540 square kilometer located in the Paterson Range Region of Western Australia; and the Laverton Gold Project consists of two granted exploration licences and three exploration licence covering 150 square kilometer located in the Laverton township, Australia.
Rincon Resources Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) currently trades at A$0.0130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0107, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Rincon Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$189K in FY2025 versus A$620 in FY2021, a compound +318.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.0M in FY2026.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −18%, RCR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)n/aA$0.0100A$0.010052
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)n/aA$0.0100A$0.010052
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+674.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −58.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−180.4% (2020) → −749.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 101 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Below median
Fair Value upside−17.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−64.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−77.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.36× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0107 versus a price of A$0.0130, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RCR?
Our model-based fair value for Rincon Resources Ltd is A$0.0107 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0130.
What is the quality score of RCR?
Rincon Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0107 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rincon Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0107, about 18% lower versus a price of A$0.0130 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rincon Resources Ltd it is A$0.0107 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.0130. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Rincon Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, RCR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0130, fair value A$0.0107, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RCR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0130); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0107). For Rincon Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0023 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rincon Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Rincon Resources Ltd at about A$6.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0130; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0107 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rincon Resources Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −58.1%, debt of 3.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RCR from its 52-week high?
Rincon Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0130, about 41% below its 52-week high of A$0.0220 and 30% above the low of A$0.0100 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0107 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rincon Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rincon Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.0130, calculated fair value A$0.0107 (−18%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RCR calculated?
We run Rincon Resources Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0107 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Rincon Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.0130. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0107, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rincon Resources Ltd right now?
Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Rincon Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The market capitalisation of Rincon Resources Ltd is A$6.8M (≈ $4.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Earnings per share at Rincon Resources Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rincon Resources Ltd is −58.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rincon Resources Ltd is −16.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The operating margin of Rincon Resources Ltd is 117,225% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Revenue at Rincon Resources Ltd is growing −77.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +45.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) generate?
The free cash flow of Rincon Resources Ltd is −A$571K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) hold?
Rincon Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
