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Rincon Resources Limited (RCR) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$5.5M

RR Rincon Resources Limited RCR · AU
PriceA$0.0150
Fair ValueA$0.0085
Upside-43.3%
Quality26/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +7.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.3450 A$0.0110 Fair Value A$0.0085 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.3450 · the A$0.0150 price screens above the A$0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Rincon Resources Limited (RCR) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 43.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$5.6K. It earns a return on equity of -16.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -43%, RCR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$5.6K
Revenue growth (YoY) -96.1%
Return on equity -16.4%
Free cash flow −A$740K FY2025
Operating margin -6,521%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
More key figures
Net cash A$2.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rincon Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resources in Western Australia. The company explores for gold, copper, and other critical metal deposits.

Full company description

Rincon Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resources in Western Australia. The company explores for gold, copper, and other critical metal deposits. The company holds a 100% interest in the West Arunta project, consisting of a single granted exploration licence and three exploration licence applications covering approximately an area of 299 square kilometers located in the West Arunta Province of Western Australia; the South Telfer project consists of six exploration licences and two prospecting licences that cover an area approximately 540 square kilometer located in the Paterson Range Region of Western Australia; and the Laverton Gold Project consists of two granted exploration licences and three exploration licence covering 150 square kilometer located in the Laverton township, Australia. Rincon Resources Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rincon Resources Limited reported revenue of A$189K in FY2025 versus A$620 in FY2021, a compound +318.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$189K
Latest YoY
+674.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+45.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
−19.8%
Revenue +318.1%/yr
FY21 A$620
FY22 A$62.1K
FY23 A$17.3K
FY24 A$24.5K
FY25 A$189K
Net income
FY21 −A$1.2M
FY22 −A$1.3M
FY23 −A$1.2M
FY24 −A$1.5M
FY25 −A$1.3M

RCR screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rincon Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RCR

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -96% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 579.75 MXN 558.30 MXN -4%
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.52 $8.15 -44%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $29.82 $29.96 +0%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.12 $9.90 +22%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$24.78 C$18.48 -25%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.98 C$21.86 -34%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.10 $16.03 -43%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.01 ¥13.23 -37%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$26.10 C$5.85 -78%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.15 ¥2.84 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rincon Resources Limited (RCR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0085 versus a price of A$0.0150, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RCR?
Our model-based fair value for Rincon Resources Limited is A$0.0085 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0150.
What is the quality score of RCR?
Rincon Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rincon Resources Limited (RCR)?
Rincon Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$5.6K (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RCR?
The net profit margin of Rincon Resources Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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