Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Rincon Resources Ltd A$0.01, price A$0.02, upside -18.7%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.3400 · the A$0.0150 price screens above the A$0.0122 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Rincon Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resources in Western Australia. The company explores for gold, copper, and other critical metal deposits.
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Rincon Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resources in Western Australia. The company explores for gold, copper, and other critical metal deposits. The company holds a 100% interest in the West Arunta project, consisting of a single granted exploration licence and three exploration licence applications covering approximately an area of 299 square kilometers located in the West Arunta Province of Western Australia; the South Telfer project consists of six exploration licences and two prospecting licences that cover an area approximately 540 square kilometer located in the Paterson Range Region of Western Australia; and the Laverton Gold Project consists of two granted exploration licences and three exploration licence covering 150 square kilometer located in the Laverton township, Australia. Rincon Resources Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0122, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Rincon Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$189K in FY2025 versus A$620 in FY2021, a compound +318.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$5.5M (≈ $3.8M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.7% · Operating margin −6,521% · Revenue growth (YoY) −96.1% · Free cash flow −A$740K · Net cash A$2.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −19%, RCR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+674.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −58.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−180.4% (2020) → −749.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−19% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−96% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0122 versus a price of A$0.0150, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RCR?
Our model-based fair value for Rincon Resources Ltd is A$0.0122 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0150.
What is the quality score of RCR?
Rincon Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0122 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rincon Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0122, about −19% upside versus a price of A$0.0150 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rincon Resources Ltd it is A$0.0122 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0150. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rincon Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RCR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0150, fair value A$0.0122, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RCR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0122). For Rincon Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0028 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rincon Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Rincon Resources Ltd at about A$5.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0150; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0122 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rincon Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −16.4%, debt of 2.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RCR from its 52-week high?
Rincon Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0150, about 38% below its 52-week high of A$0.0240 and 15% above the low of A$0.0130 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0122 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rincon Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rincon Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0150, calculated fair value A$0.0122 (−19%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RCR calculated?
We run Rincon Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0122, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Rincon Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0150. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0122, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rincon Resources Ltd right now?
Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Rincon Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The market capitalisation of Rincon Resources Ltd is A$5.5M (≈ $3.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Earnings per share at Rincon Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rincon Resources Ltd is −16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rincon Resources Ltd is −17.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
The operating margin of Rincon Resources Ltd is −6,521% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR)?
Revenue at Rincon Resources Ltd is growing −96.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +45.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) generate?
The free cash flow of Rincon Resources Ltd is −A$740K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Rincon Resources Ltd (RCR) hold?
Rincon Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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