Refex Industries Limited (REFEX) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹50.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹248.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹90.80 to ₹248.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹19.90 – ₹572.99 · fair‑value band ₹90.80 – ₹248.88 · the ₹302.75 price screens above the ₹194.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Refex Industries Limited (REFEX) currently trades at ₹302.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹194.76, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Refex Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹22.8B at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 48.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹1.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹90.80 (bear case) to ₹248.88 (bull case); at ₹302.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -36%, REFEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹607.90) versus Dividend Discount (₹7.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Refex Industries Limited engages in handling and disposal of fly ash in India. It provides refills hydrofluorocarbons, which is used in air conditioners, refrigerators, and refrigeration systems. The company engages in solar power generation and related activities; coal trading; and providing coal yard management services and power trading solutions.
Full company description
Refex Industries Limited engages in handling and disposal of fly ash in India. It provides refills hydrofluorocarbons, which is used in air conditioners, refrigerators, and refrigeration systems. The company engages in solar power generation and related activities; coal trading; and providing coal yard management services and power trading solutions. It also owns and operates electric vehicles. The company was formerly known as Refex Refrigerants Limited and changed its name to Refex Industries Limited in November 2013. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Chennai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Refex Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹22.8B in FY2026 versus ₹4.4B in FY2022, a compound +50.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.0B in FY2026, compounding +45.5%/yr from FY2022.
REFEX screens 36% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥44.07 | ¥34.97 | -21% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | -70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | -5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥22.09 | ¥13.24 | -40% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹409.30 | ₹464.01 | +13% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | -0% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | -22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,520 IDR | 3,037 IDR | +21% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 9,350 IDR | 13,935 IDR | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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