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Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited $0.03, price $0.22, upside -86.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited
RNDXF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.0300 · Strongly overvalued (−86.5%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +41.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0175 – $0.2229 · fair‑value band $0.0200 – $0.0400 · the $0.2229 price screens above the $0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an exploration and mining investment company in the gold mining sector in South Africa. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
Stock analysis
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF) currently trades at $0.2229, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0300, 86.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0200 (bear) to $0.0400 (bull), the price of $0.2229 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited reported revenue of 2.3M ZAR in FY2025 versus 397K ZAR in FY2021, a compound +55.5%/yr. Reported net income was −11.1M ZAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.1M · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Return on equity −24.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.9% · Revenue growth (YoY) −49.2% · Free cash flow −13.8M ZAR · Net cash 2.7M ZAR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 1,174% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −87%, RNDXF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0200
Fair Value $0.0300
Bull $0.0400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
53
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
54/100
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Profitability
2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.4% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.0%
’11
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’20
’21
’22
’23
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6,126.8% (2020) → −610.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
RNDXF screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0300 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.2229, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RNDXF?
Our model-based fair value for Randgold & Exploration Company Limited is $0.0300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.2229.
What is the quality score of RNDXF?
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0200, optimistic scenario $0.0400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Randgold & Exploration Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0300, about −87% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.2229 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0200, optimistic scenario $0.0400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Randgold & Exploration Company Limited it is $0.0300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2229. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Randgold & Exploration Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, RNDXF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2229, fair value $0.0300, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RNDXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2229); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0300). For Randgold & Exploration Company Limited the two are $0.1929 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Randgold & Exploration Company Limited worth?
The market values Randgold & Exploration Company Limited at about $4.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2229; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RNDXF?
Our models span a range for Randgold & Exploration Company Limited: cautious scenario $0.0200, base $0.0300, optimistic $0.0400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2229). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −24.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RNDXF from its 52-week high?
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited trades at $0.2229, at its 52-week high of $0.2229 and 1,174% above the low of $0.0175 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Randgold & Exploration Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Randgold & Exploration Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2229, calculated fair value $0.0300 (−87%), Quality Score 54/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RNDXF calculated?
We run Randgold & Exploration Company Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Randgold & Exploration Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.2229. Our model-based fair value is $0.0300, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Randgold & Exploration Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.0200 to $0.0400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
The market capitalisation of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited is $4.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
Earnings per share at Randgold & Exploration Company Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited is −24.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited is −25.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF)?
Revenue at Randgold & Exploration Company Limited is growing −49.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +56.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF) generate?
The free cash flow of Randgold & Exploration Company Limited is −13.8M ZAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Randgold & Exploration Company Limited (RNDXF) hold?
Randgold & Exploration Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 2.7M ZAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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