Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · BR · Market cap R$291M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (R$0.1598 to R$1.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.7400 – R$13.40 · fair‑value band R$0.1598 – R$1.48 · the R$0.7400 price screens below the R$0.7990 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) currently trades at R$0.7400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.7990, implying the stock looks roughly 8.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Renova Energia S.A generated revenue of R$545M at a net margin of -26.0%. Revenue grew 35.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.8%. Net debt stands at R$702M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.1598 (bear case) to R$1.48 (bull case); at R$0.7400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at 8%, RNEW3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (R$2.14) versus Multiples (R$0.9000). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Renova Energia S.A. operates as a renewable energy generation company in Brazil. The company operates through Wind, Solar, and Commercialization segments. It generates electricity through wind and solar plants. The company's portfolio includes wind, solar, hybrid, storage, and new technology projects. Renova Energia S.A.
Full company description
Renova Energia S.A. operates as a renewable energy generation company in Brazil. The company operates through Wind, Solar, and Commercialization segments. It generates electricity through wind and solar plants. The company's portfolio includes wind, solar, hybrid, storage, and new technology projects. Renova Energia S.A. was founded in 2001 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Renova Energia S.A reported revenue of R$515M in FY2025 versus R$93.8M in FY2021, a compound +53.1%/yr. Reported net income was −R$162M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | -12% |
| BEP BEP | $34.44 | $70.40 | +104% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.77 | ¥2.40 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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