Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Renova Energia S.A BRL 0.80, price BRL 0.81, upside -1.4%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.7300 – R$9.34 · fair‑value band R$0.1598 – R$1.48 · the R$0.8100 price screens above the R$0.7990 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Renova Energia S.A. operates as a renewable energy generation company in Brazil. The company operates through Wind, Solar, and Commercialization segments. It generates electricity through wind and solar plants. The company's portfolio includes wind, solar, hybrid, storage, and new technology projects. Renova Energia S.A.
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Renova Energia S.A. operates as a renewable energy generation company in Brazil. The company operates through Wind, Solar, and Commercialization segments. It generates electricity through wind and solar plants. The company's portfolio includes wind, solar, hybrid, storage, and new technology projects. Renova Energia S.A. was founded in 2001 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) currently trades at R$0.8100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.7990, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.4%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: R$0.1598 (bear) to R$1.48 (bull), the price of R$0.8100 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Renova Energia S.A reported revenue of R$515M in FY2025 versus R$93.8M in FY2021, a compound +53.1%/yr. Reported net income was −R$162M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap R$302M (≈ $57.9M) · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) R$−0.3800 · Net margin −31.5% · Return on equity −14.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin 0.4% · Revenue (TTM) R$545M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −1%, RNEW3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$0.1598Fair Value R$0.7990Bull R$1.48
Price R$0.8100 · Upside -1.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+98.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−131.2% (2020) → −2.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 198 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−1.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−26.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth35.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.58× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Renova Energia S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RNEW3
Frequently asked questions
Is Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$0.7990 versus a price of R$0.8100, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RNEW3?
Our model-based fair value for Renova Energia S.A is R$0.7990 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$0.8100.
What is the quality score of RNEW3?
Renova Energia S.A has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$0.7990 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$0.1598, optimistic scenario R$1.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Renova Energia S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$0.7990, about −1% upside versus a price of R$0.8100 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario R$0.1598, optimistic scenario R$1.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Renova Energia S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$545M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Renova Energia S.A it is R$0.7990 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of R$0.8100. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Renova Energia S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, RNEW3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$0.8100, fair value R$0.7990, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RNEW3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$0.8100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$0.7990). For Renova Energia S.A the two are R$0.0110 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Renova Energia S.A worth?
The market values Renova Energia S.A at about R$302M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is R$0.8100; our models calculate a fair value of R$0.7990 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RNEW3?
Our models span a range for Renova Energia S.A: cautious scenario R$0.1598, base R$0.7990, optimistic R$1.48 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price R$0.8100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Renova Energia S.A (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −14.8%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RNEW3 from its 52-week high?
Renova Energia S.A trades at R$0.8100, about 40% below its 52-week high of R$1.34 and 11% above the low of R$0.7300 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$0.7990 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Renova Energia S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Renova Energia S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price R$0.8100, calculated fair value R$0.7990 (−1%), Quality Score 26/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RNEW3 calculated?
We run Renova Energia S.A through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$0.7990, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Renova Energia S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$0.8100. Our model-based fair value is R$0.7990, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Renova Energia S.A right now?
The model range is unusually wide (R$0.1598 to R$1.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Renova Energia S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
The market capitalisation of Renova Energia S.A is R$302M (≈ $57.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Renova Energia S.A is 0.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Earnings per share at Renova Energia S.A are R$−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
The net margin of Renova Energia S.A is −31.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Renova Energia S.A is −14.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Renova Energia S.A is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
The operating margin of Renova Energia S.A is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Revenue at Renova Energia S.A is growing +35.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3)?
Earnings per share at Renova Energia S.A are growing −71.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) generate?
The free cash flow of Renova Energia S.A is −R$75.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Renova Energia S.A (RNEW3) carry?
The net debt of Renova Energia S.A is R$702M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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