Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Indústrias Romi S.A BRL 9.41, price BRL 5.88, upside +60.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$5.44 – R$14.40 · fair‑value band R$9.35 – R$9.41 · the R$5.88 price screens below the R$9.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Romi S.A. develops, manufactures, and sells machine tools, plastic processing machines, and gray and nodular castings in Brazil.
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Romi S.A. develops, manufactures, and sells machine tools, plastic processing machines, and gray and nodular castings in Brazil. The company offers machine tools, such as machining centers, turning centers, CNC lathes, vertical turning centers, vertical CNC lathes, CNC boring, engine lathes, and heavy and extra-heavy duty CNC lathes; plastic injection and blowing moulding machines; Burkhardt+Weber products; and casting and machined parts. It also provides presales and aftersales engineering services, technical assistance, and spare parts. The company serves various industries, including automotive components manufacturing, consumer goods, agricultural machinery and implements, education, and industrial machinery and equipment. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Indústrias Romi S.A. Romi S.A. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Santa Bárbara d'Oeste, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3) currently trades at R$5.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$9.41, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$17.48 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$5.88 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$2.12, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$9.35 (bear) to R$9.41 (bull), the price of R$5.88 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Indústrias Romi S.A reported revenue of R$1.3B in FY2025 versus R$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was R$85.1M in FY2025, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$548M (≈ $106M) · P/E ratio 7.3 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) R$0.8100 · Dividend yield 9.2% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 60%, ROMI3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$9.35Fair Value R$9.41Bull R$9.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.1982 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16% vs 30%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 7%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 112 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+60% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.39× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$9.41 versus a price of R$5.88, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ROMI3?
Our model-based fair value for Indústrias Romi S.A is R$9.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$5.88.
What is the quality score of ROMI3?
Indústrias Romi S.A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$9.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$9.35, optimistic scenario R$9.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indústrias Romi S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$9.41, about +60% upside versus a price of R$5.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$9.35, optimistic scenario R$9.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Indústrias Romi S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Indústrias Romi S.A pay a dividend?
Indústrias Romi S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indústrias Romi S.A it is R$9.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$5.88. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indústrias Romi S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ROMI3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$5.88, fair value R$9.41, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ROMI3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$5.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$9.41). For Indústrias Romi S.A the two are R$3.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indústrias Romi S.A worth?
The market values Indústrias Romi S.A at about R$548M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$5.88; our models calculate a fair value of R$9.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ROMI3?
Our models span a range for Indústrias Romi S.A: cautious scenario R$9.35, base R$9.41, optimistic R$9.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$5.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ROMI3?
Indústrias Romi S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$9.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 20.5, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of ROMI3?
The PEG ratio of Indústrias Romi S.A is 20.49 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indústrias Romi S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ROMI3 from its 52-week high?
Indústrias Romi S.A trades at R$5.88, about 32% below its 52-week high of R$8.69 and 8% above the low of R$5.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$9.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indústrias Romi S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indústrias Romi S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$5.88, calculated fair value R$9.41 (+60%), Quality Score 43/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ROMI3 calculated?
We run Indústrias Romi S.A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$9.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Indústrias Romi S.A currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was R$5.88. Our model-based fair value is R$9.41, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indústrias Romi S.A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$9.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The models converge in a tight band (R$9.35 to R$9.41), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Indústrias Romi S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The market capitalisation of Indústrias Romi S.A is R$548M (≈ $106M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indústrias Romi S.A is 0.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Earnings per share at Indústrias Romi S.A are R$0.8100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The dividend yield of Indústrias Romi S.A is 9.2% (payout 66.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The net margin of Indústrias Romi S.A is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indústrias Romi S.A is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indústrias Romi S.A is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
The operating margin of Indústrias Romi S.A is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Revenue at Indústrias Romi S.A is growing −19.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3)?
Earnings per share at Indústrias Romi S.A are growing −76.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3) generate?
The free cash flow of Indústrias Romi S.A is −R$59.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Indústrias Romi S.A (ROMI3) carry?
The net debt of Indústrias Romi S.A is R$918M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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