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Alfa Holdings (RPAD3) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BR · Market cap R$650M

PriceR$6.50
Fair ValueR$13.00
Upside+100.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range R$9.75 – R$16.25

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

Analysis

Alfa Holdings (RPAD3) currently trades at R$6.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$13.00 — implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Alfa Holdings S.A. engages in the provision of financial products in Brazil. It also engages in the provision of credit to legal entities and individuals, private banking, wealth management, asset management, investment banking, and insurance. The company was formerly known as Real S.A. and changed its name to Alfa Holdings S.A. in April 1999. Alfa Holdings S.A. was incorporated in 1959 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil. Alfa Holdings S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Banco Safra S.A.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alfa Holdings (RPAD3) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$13.00 versus a price of R$6.50 — about +100% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of RPAD3?
Our 21-model fair value for Alfa Holdings is R$13.00 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$6.50.
What is the quality score of RPAD3?
Alfa Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.