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Reward Minerals Ltd (RWD) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$8.1M

RM Reward Minerals Ltd RWD · AU
PriceA$0.0300
Fair ValueA$0.0340
Upside+13.3%
Quality30/100
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Strengths

Trades 12% below our fair value of A$0.0340

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +129.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +129.8 %/yr)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0276 – A$0.0404 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Below-average quality, trading 12% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • Our model range runs from A$0.0276 (bear) to A$0.0404 (bull), base A$0.0340. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 30/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.1382 A$0.0230 Fair Value A$0.0340 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0230 – A$0.1382 · fair‑value band A$0.0276 – A$0.0404 · the A$0.0300 price screens below the A$0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Reward Minerals Ltd (RWD) currently trades at A$0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$19.7K. Revenue declined 59.6% year over year. Net debt stands at A$5.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0276 (bear case) to A$0.0404 (bull case); at A$0.0300, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 13%, RWD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 61

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -251% TTM
Return on assets -25.6% TTM
Operating margin 3,040% TTM
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
Revenue (TTM) A$19.7K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -59.6% 3y avg +257%
More key figures
Growth
EPS growth (YoY) +11.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$701K FY2025
Net debt A$5.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Reward Minerals Ltd, together with its subsidiary, engages in the exploration and development of potash mineral properties in Australia and Canada. The company's project includes the Carnarvon Potash Project which covers an area of 219 square kilometers located in Carnarvon in Western Australia.

Full company description

Reward Minerals Ltd, together with its subsidiary, engages in the exploration and development of potash mineral properties in Australia and Canada. The company's project includes the Carnarvon Potash Project which covers an area of 219 square kilometers located in Carnarvon in Western Australia. Reward Minerals Ltd was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Nedlands, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Reward Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$252K in FY2025 versus A$426 in FY2021, a compound +393.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$252K
Latest YoY
+2,260.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+257.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+129.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +393.0%/yr
FY21 A$426
FY22 A$5.5K
FY23 A$24.1K
FY24 A$10.7K
FY25 A$252K
Net income
FY21 −A$636K
FY22 −A$3.9M
FY23 −A$22.7M
FY24 −A$23.7M
FY25 −A$2.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Reward Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RWD

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 477 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Below median
Fair Value upside +13% · Top 25%
Return on assets -26% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -60% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

PEG 2.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE51 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 30
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 33

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$63.71 A$42.33 -34%
Vale S.A VALE $13.63 $8.95 -34%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR -48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥19.00 ¥19.80 +4%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $65.95 $31.92 -52%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥70.43 ¥9.55 -86%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹573.00 ₹508.34 -11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 -74%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 -13%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.85 ¥25.99 -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Reward Minerals Ltd (RWD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.0300, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RWD?
Our model-based fair value for Reward Minerals Ltd is A$0.0340 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0300.
What is the quality score of RWD?
Reward Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Reward Minerals Ltd (RWD)?
Reward Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$19.7K (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RWD?
The net profit margin of Reward Minerals Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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