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Sempra (S1RE34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Sempra BRL 48.28, price BRL 108, upside -55.3%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities · BR · ISIN US8168511090

S Some data Sep 29, 2026

Sempra

S1RE34 · SA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value R$48.28 · Strongly overvalued (−55.3%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −1.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!2.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$135.41 R$74.08 Fair Value R$48.28 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$74.08 – R$135.41 · fair‑value band R$40.52 – R$58.38 · the R$107.95 price screens above the R$48.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers.

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Sempra engages in the regulated utilities business in the United States and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure. It also invests in and operates electric and gas utilities and other energy infrastructure that provides energy services to customers. The Sempra California segment provides natural gas and electric services to Southern California and part of central California. As of December 31, 2025, it offered electric services to approximately 3.6 million population and natural gas services to approximately 3.3 million population that covers 4,100 square miles. This segment owns and operates a natural gas distribution, transmission, and storage system that supplies natural gas. As of December 31, 2025, it served a population of 21.3 million covering an area of 24,000 square miles. The Sempra Texas Utilities segment engages in the regulated electricity transmission and distribution utility business. As of December 31, 2025, transmission system included approximately 18,418 circuit miles of transmission lines; 1,333 transmission and distribution substations; interconnection to 230 third-party generation facilities totaling 63,670 MW; and distribution system included more than 4.1 million points of delivery and consisted of 127,398 circuit miles of overhead and underground lines. The Sempra Infrastructure segment develops, constructs, operates, and invests in energy infrastructure to help enable the access to cleaner energy in markets in the United States, Mexico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Sempra Energy and changed its name to Sempra in May 2023. Sempra was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Sempra (S1RE34) currently trades at R$107.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$48.28, 55.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$62.37 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the R$107.95 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$33.64, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$40.52 (bear) to R$58.38 (bull), the price of R$107.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Sempra reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $12.9B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap R$320B (≈ $61.3B) · P/E ratio 28.3 · P/S ratio 3.80 · EPS (TTM) R$3.81 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −55%, S1RE34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$40.52 Fair Value R$48.28 Bull R$58.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.9240 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$50.21 R$52.18 R$55.92 73
Gordon GGM R$30.13 R$33.64 R$38.42 67
Graham-Dodd R$24.95 R$35.37 R$41.44 65
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$24.95 R$35.37 R$41.44 65
EPV n/a n/a R$2.93 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$30.13 R$33.64 R$38.42 67
DDM Multi-Stage R$30.13 R$38.92 R$50.49 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$57.78 R$77.05 R$96.31 63
P/S Multiple R$41.05 R$54.73 R$68.41 58
P/B Multiple R$46.78 R$62.37 R$77.96 55
EV/EBIT R$20.61 R$46.75 R$72.90 62
EV/EBITDA R$52.07 R$88.69 R$125.32 65
EV/Revenue n/a n/a R$6.22 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$31.57 R$42.30 R$63.14 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$50.21 R$52.18 R$55.92 73
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a R$2.93 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$40.80 R$58.29 R$75.78 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+3.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 23%

S1RE34 screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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E.ON SE EOAN €17.02 €8.95 −47%
ACWA Power Company 2082 171.00 SAR 27.47 SAR −84%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP $35.79 $18.02 −50%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.00 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.84 €3.81 −21%
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$10.84 A$11.45 +6%

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Sempra · Fair Value
R$48.28 −55%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sempra Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S1RE34

Frequently asked questions

Is Sempra (S1RE34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$48.28 versus a price of R$107.95, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of S1RE34?
Our model-based fair value for Sempra is R$48.28 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$107.95.
What is the quality score of S1RE34?
Sempra has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sempra (S1RE34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$48.28 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$40.52, optimistic scenario R$58.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sempra stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$48.28, about −55% upside versus a price of R$107.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$40.52, optimistic scenario R$58.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sempra (S1RE34)?
Sempra reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Sempra pay a dividend?
Sempra currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sempra (S1RE34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sempra it is R$48.28 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$107.95. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sempra stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, S1RE34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$107.95, fair value R$48.28, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of S1RE34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$107.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$48.28). For Sempra the two are R$59.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sempra worth?
The market values Sempra at about R$320B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$107.95; our models calculate a fair value of R$48.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about S1RE34?
Our models span a range for Sempra: cautious scenario R$40.52, base R$48.28, optimistic R$58.38 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$107.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is S1RE34 from its 52-week high?
Sempra trades at R$107.95, about 15% below its 52-week high of R$126.66 and 2% above the low of R$106.15 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$48.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sempra?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sempra stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$107.95, calculated fair value R$48.28 (−55%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of S1RE34 calculated?
We run Sempra through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$48.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sempra itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$107.95. Our model-based fair value is R$48.28, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sempra right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$58.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Sempra

How large is the market capitalisation of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The market capitalisation of Sempra is R$320B (≈ $61.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Sempra is 28.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sempra is 3.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sempra (S1RE34)?
Earnings per share at Sempra are R$3.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The dividend yield of Sempra is 2.4% (payout 67.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The net margin of Sempra is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sempra is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sempra (S1RE34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sempra is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sempra (S1RE34)?
The operating margin of Sempra is 30.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sempra (S1RE34)?
Revenue at Sempra is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sempra (S1RE34)?
Earnings per share at Sempra are growing +13.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sempra (S1RE34) generate?
The free cash flow of Sempra is −$6.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sempra (S1RE34) carry?
The net debt of Sempra is $35.0B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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