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SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD S$1.81, price S$3.15, upside -42.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · SG · ISIN SG1I53882771

Broad data Sep 30, 2026

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD

S59 · SG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 1.81 SGD · Strongly overvalued (−42.5%)

!Quality 57/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.3 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!3.5% dividend yield · Watch coverage

!Trails peers (3/14)

!Narrow moat 34/100

26 models, one by oneBear 1.22 SGD to bull 2.73 SGD Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 57/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.78 SGD – 3.65 SGD · fair‑value band 1.22 SGD – 2.73 SGD · the 3.15 SGD price screens above the 1.81 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

SIA Engineering Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services in Singapore, Philippines, Japan, Malaysia, Cambodia, and the United States of America. The company operates through Airframe and Line Maintenance; and Engine and Component segments. The Airframe and Line Maintenance segment offers airframe maintenance, including scheduled routine maintenance and overhaul, specialized and non-routine maintenance, and modification, and refurbishment services; line maintenance that provides aircraft certification, and technical ground handling services, such as push-back and towing, as well as aircraft ground support equipment and rectification work; and inventory technical management which provide fleet technical management and inventory technical management services comprising engineering and MRO solutions. The Engine and Component segment provides component overhaul, and engine repair and overhaul services. It also provides repair and overhaul services for hydro-mechanical equipment for Boeing and Airbus aircraft; turnkey solutions for aircraft interior modifications; and aircraft maintenance services that consist of technical and non-technical handling at the airport. SIA Engineering Company Limited was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Singapore. The company operates as a subsidiary of Singapore Airlines Limited.

Stock analysis

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59) currently trades at 3.15 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.81 SGD, 42.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2.59 SGD per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the 3.15 SGD price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 0.3000 SGD, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 1.22 SGD (bear) to 2.73 SGD (bull), the price of 3.15 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD reported revenue of 1.4B SGD in FY2026 versus 566M SGD in FY2022, a compound +25.9%/yr. Reported net income was 169M SGD in FY2026, compounding +25.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 3.5B SGD (≈ $2.8B) · P/E ratio 21.0 · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) 0.1500 SGD · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 11.9% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −43%, S59 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.22 SGD Fair Value 1.81 SGD Bull 2.73 SGD

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0203 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings 1.80 SGD 2.55 SGD 3.58 SGD 77

Residual Income 1.35 SGD 1.48 SGD 1.75 SGD 76

EPV 0.2600 SGD 0.3000 SGD 0.3200 SGD 74

All 16 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings 1.80 SGD 2.55 SGD 3.58 SGD 77

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd 1.03 SGD 2.50 SGD 3.23 SGD 65

PEG = 1.0 0.4500 SGD 0.6400 SGD 0.8300 SGD 57

EPV 0.2600 SGD 0.3000 SGD 0.3200 SGD 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM 0.8300 SGD 1.46 SGD 2.22 SGD 67

DDM Multi-Stage 0.8300 SGD 1.23 SGD 1.65 SGD 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple 2.38 SGD 3.17 SGD 3.96 SGD 63

P/S Multiple 1.91 SGD 2.54 SGD 3.18 SGD 58

P/B Multiple 1.92 SGD 2.56 SGD 3.20 SGD 55

EV/EBIT 0.3800 SGD 0.4900 SGD 0.6000 SGD 66

EV/EBITDA 0.8900 SGD 1.16 SGD 1.44 SGD 67

EV/Revenue 0.2900 SGD 0.3900 SGD 0.4900 SGD 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) 0.7800 SGD 1.05 SGD 1.57 SGD 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income 1.35 SGD 1.48 SGD 1.75 SGD 76

ROIC Compounder 0.2600 SGD 0.3000 SGD 0.3200 SGD 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E 1.82 SGD 2.59 SGD 3.37 SGD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 45

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 63

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 8

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 71

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 87

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 95

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 32

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 21

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+14.3%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+21.4%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+26.3%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year

Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.2%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.

+33.5%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+30.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.3% vs −0.8%, picking up

Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 2%

2026 sits 75% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Start year 2021 (pandemic)

S59 screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airports & Air Services · 51 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 57 · Below median

Fair Value upside −42.5% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 9.7% · Below median

Return on assets 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) 11.9% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 3.0% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −1.0% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.0× · Pricier than median

P/B 2.01× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 2.48× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 58.5× · Priciest 25%

PEG 2.35× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 48

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 26

PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 48

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 86

DIVIDEND (yield)70 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Fraport AG FRA	€62.00	€35.02	−44%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU	€53.40	€58.74	+10%
SATS Ltd S58	3.83 SGD	5.30 SGD	+38%

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SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD · Fair Value
1.81 SGD −43%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S59" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">1.81 SGD</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−43%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S59

Frequently asked questions

Is SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.81 SGD versus a price of 3.15 SGD, about −43% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of S59?

Our model-based fair value for SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 1.81 SGD (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.15 SGD.

What is the quality score of S59?

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.81 SGD (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.22 SGD, optimistic scenario 2.73 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at 1.81 SGD, about −43% upside versus a price of 3.15 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.22 SGD, optimistic scenario 2.73 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).

Does SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD pay a dividend?

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD it is 1.81 SGD per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of 3.15 SGD. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 30, 2026, S59 trades above its calculated fair value: price 3.15 SGD, fair value 1.81 SGD, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of S59?

No. The price is what the market pays today (3.15 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.81 SGD). For SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD the two are 1.34 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD worth?

The market values SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD at about 3.5B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is 3.15 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.81 SGD per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about S59?

Our models span a range for SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD: cautious scenario 1.22 SGD, base 1.81 SGD, optimistic 2.73 SGD per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price 3.15 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of S59?

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.0 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.81 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.4, P/B 2.0, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 58.5.

What is the PEG ratio of S59?

The PEG ratio of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 2.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 30, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

Balance-sheet figures for SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is S59 from its 52-week high?

SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD trades at 3.15 SGD, about 14% below its 52-week high of 3.65 SGD and 4% above the low of 3.03 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.81 SGD is for.

Which stocks are comparable to SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Aena S.M.E., S.A, Airports of Thailand Public Company, GMR Airports Limited, Shanghai International Airport Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price 3.15 SGD, calculated fair value 1.81 SGD (−43%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of S59 calculated?

We run SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.81 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 3.15 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 1.81 SGD, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.73 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (1.22 SGD to 2.73 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The market capitalisation of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 3.5B SGD (≈ $2.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The price-to-sales ratio of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 2.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

Earnings per share at SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD are 0.1500 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The dividend yield of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 3.5% (payout 73.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The net margin of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 11.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The return on equity (ROE) of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

The operating margin of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

Revenue at SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is growing −1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59)?

Earnings per share at SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD are growing +34.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59) generate?

The free cash flow of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is −21.9M SGD (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD (S59) carry?

The net debt of SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD is 69.4M SGD (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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