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Shufersal Ltd (SAE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Il · Market cap 12.0B ILA

SL Shufersal Ltd SAE · TA
Price44.62 ILA
Fair Value45.47 ILA
Upside+1.9%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range 33.98 ILA – 61.11 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −6.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 33.98 ILA (bear) to 61.11 ILA (bull), base 45.47 ILA. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

52.66 ILA 15.31 ILA Fair Value 45.47 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.31 ILA – 52.66 ILA · fair‑value band 33.98 ILA – 61.11 ILA · the 44.62 ILA price screens below the 45.47 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Shufersal Ltd (SAE) currently trades at 44.62 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.47 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 1.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shufersal Ltd generated revenue of 14.5B ILA at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.8%. Net debt stands at 4.6B ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 33.98 ILA (bear case) to 61.11 ILA (bull case); at 44.62 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 2%, SAE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 61.67 ILA 84.27 ILA 116.39 ILA 80
Residual Income 17.10 ILA 20.93 ILA 44.90 ILA 76
Rev-Margin DCF 41.58 ILA 58.72 ILA 77.62 ILA 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 59.61 ILA 83.33 ILA 118.65 ILA 38
Owner Earnings 55.22 ILA 77.20 ILA 109.93 ILA 31
5Y Revenue Exit 41.58 ILA 57.69 ILA 77.75 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 61.33 ILA 92.02 ILA 127.04 ILA 41
5Y P/E Exit 44.92 ILA 63.49 ILA 82.30 ILA 38
10Y Revenue Exit 46.97 ILA 62.35 ILA 80.08 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 60.14 ILA 85.27 ILA 114.81 ILA 37
10Y P/E Exit 49.97 ILA 66.22 ILA 83.29 ILA 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 18.12 ILA 36.38 ILA 45.72 ILA 54
EPV 26.99 ILA 31.52 ILA 35.48 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 18.58 ILA 26.76 ILA 35.22 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 18.58 ILA 26.18 ILA 34.99 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 41.97 ILA 55.96 ILA 69.95 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 33.98 ILA 45.30 ILA 56.63 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 33.98 ILA 45.30 ILA 56.63 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 46.76 ILA 62.40 ILA 78.04 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 71.75 ILA 95.72 ILA 119.69 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 33.32 ILA 47.68 ILA 62.03 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.69 ILA 10.31 ILA 15.39 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 61.67 ILA 84.27 ILA 116.39 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 41.58 ILA 58.72 ILA 77.62 ILA 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 17.10 ILA 20.93 ILA 44.90 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 27.79 ILA 33.68 ILA 39.83 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 30.45 ILA 43.50 ILA 56.54 ILA 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (66.22 ILA) versus Asset-Based (10.31 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 14.5B ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.7%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 17.8%
Free cash flow 1.5B ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 16.4
More key figures
Operating margin 6.2%
EPS (TTM) 2.74 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) +28.7%
Net debt 4.6B ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shufersal Ltd. operates a chain of supermarkets under the Shufersal brand name in Israel. It provides various products, such as meat, poultry and fish products; fresh vegetables and fruits; organic products; toiletries, cosmetics and pharmaceuticals; leisure products; electrical and communication products; household appliances, and variety of non-food …

Full company description

Shufersal Ltd. operates a chain of supermarkets under the Shufersal brand name in Israel. It provides various products, such as meat, poultry and fish products; fresh vegetables and fruits; organic products; toiletries, cosmetics and pharmaceuticals; leisure products; electrical and communication products; household appliances, and variety of non-food products. The company offers its products through online website under the brand Shufersal Online. It also provides credit cards and customer club services. Shufersal Ltd. was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Rishon LeZion, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shufersal Ltd reported revenue of 14.5B ILA in FY2025 versus 14.8B ILA in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 711M ILA in FY2025, compounding +16.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
14.5B ILS
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+3.7%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY21 14.8B ILA
FY22 14.7B ILA
FY23 15.2B ILA
FY24 15.6B ILA
FY25 14.5B ILA
Net income +16.0%/yr
FY21 393M ILA
FY22 2.0M ILA
FY23 312M ILA
FY24 657M ILA
FY25 711M ILA

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shufersal Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAE

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 36
FUTURE 23 · sector 17
PAST 77 · sector 51
HEALTH 83 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$65.49 C$44.44 -32%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €36.30 €53.50 +47%
The Kroger Co KR $58.82 $28.19 -52%
Woolworths Group WOW A$39.20 A$13.40 -66%
George Weston Limited WN C$100.98 C$63.61 -37%
Coles Group COL A$23.56 A$15.86 -33%
Metro Inc MRU C$93.64 C$94.01 +0%
Carrefour SA CA €16.40 €11.51 -30%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.89 SGD 2.36 SGD +25%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 385.75 TRY 267.12 TRY -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shufersal Ltd (SAE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.47 ILA versus a price of 44.62 ILA, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SAE?
Our model-based fair value for Shufersal Ltd is 45.47 ILA (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 44.62 ILA.
What is the quality score of SAE?
Shufersal Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shufersal Ltd (SAE)?
Shufersal Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.5B ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAE?
The net profit margin of Shufersal Ltd is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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