Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Safilo Group SpA $5.10, price $4.75, upside +7.4%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.48 – $4.75 · fair‑value band $3.97 – $6.79 · the $4.75 price screens below the $5.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Safilo Group S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes optical frames, sunglasses, sports eyewear, goggles, and helmets in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
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Safilo Group S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes optical frames, sunglasses, sports eyewear, goggles, and helmets in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers fashion items under the Boss, Carolina Herrera, Dsquared2, Etro, Isabel Marant, Missoni, Moschino, PORTS, and Victoria Beckham brand names; lifestyle products under the Carrera, Eyewear by David Beckham, Marc Jacobs, Levi's, Tommy Hilfiger, Tommy Jeans, Kate Spade New York, Kurt Geiger, Fossil, HUGO, Juicy Couture, Liz Claiborne, Love Moschino, Pierre Cardin, and Stuart Weitzman brand names; sports and outdoor items under the Smith and Under Armour brand names; and mass cool products under the Blenders, Polaroid, Privé Revaux, and Seventh Street brand names. It sells its products to opticians, optometrists, ophthalmologists, retail chains, department stores, specialty retailers, boutiques, duty free, and sports stores through a network of independent distribution partners, direct-to-consumer e-commerce platforms, and online sales channels. The company was formerly known as Società Azionaria Fabbrica Italiana Lavorazione Occhiali S.p.A. and changed its name to Safilo Group S.p.A. in June 2007. Safilo Group S.p.A. was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Padua, Italy.
Stock analysis
Safilo Group SpA ADR (SAFLY) currently trades at $4.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.10, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $5.03 per share, and 12 of the 22 models we run sit above the $4.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.51, and 10 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.97 (bear) to $6.79 (bull), the price of $4.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Safilo Group SpA ADR reported revenue of €945M in FY2025 versus €970M in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was €47.1M in FY2025, compounding +22.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B · P/E ratio 17.6 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) $0.2700 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 7%, SAFLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.97Fair Value $5.10Bull $6.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2042 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+26.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25.9% vs −4.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 7%
2025 sits 143% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 13.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.7% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Instruments & Supplies · 191 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+9.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.6% · Above median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Safilo Group SpA ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFLY
Frequently asked questions
Is Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.10 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $4.75, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SAFLY?
Our model-based fair value for Safilo Group SpA ADR is $5.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $4.75.
What is the quality score of SAFLY?
Safilo Group SpA ADR has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.97, optimistic scenario $6.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Safilo Group SpA ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.10, about +7% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $4.75 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.97, optimistic scenario $6.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Safilo Group SpA ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €983M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Safilo Group SpA ADR pay a dividend?
Safilo Group SpA ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Safilo Group SpA ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +2.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SAFLY use?
Our models discount Safilo Group SpA ADR at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Safilo Group SpA ADR that is +2.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Safilo Group SpA ADR grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies +2.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Safilo Group SpA ADR (+2.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.75 %: that much free cash flow Safilo Group SpA ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Safilo Group SpA ADR it is $5.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.75. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Safilo Group SpA ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SAFLY trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.75, fair value $5.10, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAFLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.10). For Safilo Group SpA ADR the two are $0.3500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Safilo Group SpA ADR worth?
The market values Safilo Group SpA ADR at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.75; our models calculate a fair value of $5.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAFLY?
Our models span a range for Safilo Group SpA ADR: cautious scenario $3.97, base $5.10, optimistic $6.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAFLY?
Safilo Group SpA ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 9.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Safilo Group SpA ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.6%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAFLY from its 52-week high?
Safilo Group SpA ADR trades at $4.75, at its 52-week high of $4.75 and 40% above the low of $3.39 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Safilo Group SpA ADR?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Intuitive Surgical, Inc, EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme, Becton, Dickinson and Company, Medline Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Safilo Group SpA ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.75, calculated fair value $5.10 (+7%), Quality Score 75/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAFLY calculated?
We run Safilo Group SpA ADR through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Safilo Group SpA ADR currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $4.75. Our model-based fair value is $5.10, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Safilo Group SpA ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Safilo Group SpA ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The market capitalisation of Safilo Group SpA ADR is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Safilo Group SpA ADR is 0.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Earnings per share at Safilo Group SpA ADR are $0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The dividend yield of Safilo Group SpA ADR is 0.0% (payout 0.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The net margin of Safilo Group SpA ADR is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Safilo Group SpA ADR is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Safilo Group SpA ADR is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
The operating margin of Safilo Group SpA ADR is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Revenue at Safilo Group SpA ADR is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY)?
Earnings per share at Safilo Group SpA ADR are growing +47.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Safilo Group SpA (SAFLY) carry?
The net debt of Safilo Group SpA ADR is €46.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026