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Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Saxlund Group AB stock SEK 4.99, price SEK 8.36, that is 40.3% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials SE · ISIN SE0008966014

SG Saxlund Group AB logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Saxlund Group AB

SAXG · ST
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 40% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 41/100
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
Revenue last quarter 18% below a year ago.
Fair value kr 4.99 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.9 %/yr in SEK)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 24/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 477.56 kr 6.98 Fair Value kr 4.99 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 6.98 – kr 477.56 · fair‑value band kr 4.29 – kr 5.61 · the kr 8.36 price screens above the kr 4.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Saxlund Group AB (publ), an environmental technology group, develops, manufactures, and services plants and equipment for the production of environmental-friendly and resource-efficient energy.

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The company provides push floor dischargers, sliding frame silo dischargers, tube-feeder biomass reclaimers, hydraulic rotor silo dischargers, trailer docking stations, transportable biomass centres, chain conveyors, screw conveyors, and solids pump products.

It also offers complete power station handling system, reception of material from trucks, silo storage and discharge systems, truck loading system, and biomass large scale storage system.

The company serves cement, electricity, heat and power production, wood and forest, water and waste management, process, recycling, mining, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Pilum AB (publ.) and changed its name to Saxlund Group AB (publ) in July 2017.

Saxlund Group AB (publ) was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) currently trades at kr 8.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.99, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 9.87 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 8.36 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 2.30, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 4.29 (bear) to kr 5.61 (bull), the price of kr 8.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Saxlund Group AB reported revenue of 229M SEK in FY2025 versus 258M SEK in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7M SEK in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 60.2M SEK (≈ $6.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 83.6 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.1000 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −40%, SAXG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 4.29 Fair Value kr 4.99 Bull kr 5.61
Price kr 8.36 · Downside -40.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.0858 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV kr 4.29 kr 4.99 kr 5.61 74
ROIC Compounder kr 4.29 kr 4.99 kr 5.61 70
Residual Income kr 5.95 kr 5.82 kr 5.96 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 1.64 kr 4.29 kr 5.60 63
PEG = 1.0 kr 0.8200 kr 1.17 kr 1.52 55
EPV kr 4.29 kr 4.99 kr 5.61 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 3.80 kr 5.07 kr 6.34 63
P/S Multiple kr 3.08 kr 4.11 kr 5.13 58
P/B Multiple kr 16.47 kr 21.97 kr 27.46 55
EV/EBIT kr 8.17 kr 11.37 kr 14.57 66
EV/EBITDA kr 11.09 kr 15.26 kr 19.43 67
EV/Revenue kr 5.43 kr 8.36 kr 11.29 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.52 kr 2.30 kr 2.87 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 5.95 kr 5.82 kr 5.96 68
ROIC Compounder kr 4.29 kr 4.99 kr 5.61 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 2.97 kr 4.24 kr 5.52 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 34
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 33
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 69
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 57
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+55.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+55.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 48.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

SAXG screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with Veralto Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 86 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.3% · Below median
Return on assets 1.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −17.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 83.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 HK$7.83 HK$23.49 +200% vs SAXG
Jingjin Equipment Inc 603279 ¥13.57 ¥21.71 +60% vs SAXG
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS $43.47 $48.24 +11% vs SAXG
Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 608.00 TWD 663.94 TWD +9% vs SAXG
Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co 000544 ¥7.15 ¥7.36 +3% vs SAXG
Fujian Longking Co 600388 ¥17.47 ¥12.37 −29% vs SAXG
Veralto Corporation VLTO $117.09 $69.81 −40% vs SAXG
Munters Group MTRS kr 128.95 kr 48.58 −62% vs SAXG
GVS S.p.A GVS €5.84 €1.74 −70% vs SAXG
CECO Environmental Corp CECO $43.71 $10.47 −76% vs SAXG

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Saxlund Group AB: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saxlund Group AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAXG

Frequently asked questions

Is Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 4.99 versus a price of kr 8.36, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SAXG?
Our model-based fair value for Saxlund Group AB is kr 4.99 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 8.36.
What is the quality score of SAXG?
Saxlund Group AB has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 4.99 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 4.29, optimistic scenario kr 5.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saxlund Group AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 4.99, about 40% lower versus a price of kr 8.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 4.29, optimistic scenario kr 5.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Saxlund Group AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 208M SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saxlund Group AB it is kr 4.99 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of kr 8.36. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Saxlund Group AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, SAXG trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 8.36, fair value kr 4.99, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAXG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 8.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 4.99). For Saxlund Group AB the two are kr 3.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saxlund Group AB worth?
The market values Saxlund Group AB at about 60.2M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is kr 8.36; our models calculate a fair value of kr 4.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAXG?
Our models span a range for Saxlund Group AB: cautious scenario kr 4.29, base kr 4.99, optimistic kr 5.61 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price kr 8.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAXG?
Saxlund Group AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 83.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 4.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 7.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saxlund Group AB (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAXG from its 52-week high?
Saxlund Group AB trades at kr 8.36, about 46% below its 52-week high of kr 15.40 and 1% above the low of kr 8.24 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 4.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saxlund Group AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, Fujian Longking Co, Munters Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saxlund Group AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price kr 8.36, calculated fair value kr 4.99 (−40%), Quality Score 41/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAXG calculated?
We run Saxlund Group AB through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 4.99 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Saxlund Group AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 8.36. Our model-based fair value is kr 4.99, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Saxlund Group AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 5.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Saxlund Group AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
The market capitalisation of Saxlund Group AB is 60.2M SEK (≈ $6.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Saxlund Group AB is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Earnings per share at Saxlund Group AB are kr 0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 83.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
The net margin of Saxlund Group AB is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saxlund Group AB is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saxlund Group AB is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
The operating margin of Saxlund Group AB is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Revenue at Saxlund Group AB is growing −17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Saxlund Group AB (SAXG)?
Earnings per share at Saxlund Group AB are growing −64.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) generate?
The free cash flow of Saxlund Group AB is −13.3M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Saxlund Group AB (SAXG) carry?
The net debt of Saxlund Group AB is 10.2M SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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