Saxlund Group (SAXG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 80.6M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +6.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 5.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 6.98 – kr 477.56 · fair‑value band kr 3.47 – kr 5.52 · the kr 11.95 price screens above the kr 4.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Saxlund Group (SAXG) currently trades at kr 11.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.24, implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saxlund Group generated revenue of 219M SEK at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at 10.2M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 3.47 (bear case) to kr 5.52 (bull case); at kr 11.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -65%, SAXG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 5.39) versus Earnings-Based (kr 3.47). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saxlund Group AB (publ), an environmental technology group, develops, manufactures, and services plants and equipment for the production of environmental-friendly and resource-efficient energy.
Full company description
Saxlund Group AB (publ), an environmental technology group, develops, manufactures, and services plants and equipment for the production of environmental-friendly and resource-efficient energy. The company provides push floor dischargers, sliding frame silo dischargers, tube-feeder biomass reclaimers, hydraulic rotor silo dischargers, trailer docking stations, transportable biomass centres, chain conveyors, screw conveyors, and solids pump products. It also offers complete power station handling system, reception of material from trucks, silo storage and discharge systems, truck loading system, and biomass large scale storage system. The company serves cement, electricity, heat and power production, wood and forest, water and waste management, process, recycling, mining, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Pilum AB (publ.) and changed its name to Saxlund Group AB (publ) in July 2017. Saxlund Group AB (publ) was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saxlund Group reported revenue of kr 229M in FY2025 versus kr 258M in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 1.7M in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.
SAXG screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Veralto Corporation →
Peer Group
Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veralto Corporation VLTO | $94.21 | $69.11 | -27% |
| Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS | $47.63 | $24.92 | -48% |
| Canmax Technologies Co 300390 | ¥57.02 | ¥10.41 | -82% |
| CECO Environmental Corp CECO | $83.63 | $15.19 | -82% |
| Fujian Longking Co 600388 | ¥17.58 | ¥15.59 | -11% |
| Munters Group MTRS | kr 166.60 | kr 16.90 | -90% |
| China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 | HK$8.83 | HK$14.14 | +60% |
| Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 | 1,005 TWD | 539.58 TWD | -46% |
| MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 | ¥96.57 | ¥18.80 | -81% |
| Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co 000544 | ¥7.30 | ¥15.46 | +112% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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