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SCREEN Holdings (SCRNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $16.0B

SH SCREEN Holdings logo SCREEN Holdings SCRNY · US
Price$16.53
Fair Value$16.31
Upside-1.3%
Quality73/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/10)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: High Range $8.20 – $22.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($8.20 to $22.83). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 months)

$23.00 $13.00 Fair Value $16.31 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range $13.00 – $23.00 · fair‑value band $8.20 – $22.83 · the $16.53 price screens above the $16.31 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

SCREEN Holdings (SCRNY) currently trades at $16.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.31, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SCREEN Holdings generated revenue of $606B at a net margin of 15.2%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 27.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.20 (bear case) to $22.83 (bull case); at $16.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -1%, SCRNY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.51 $8.17 $13.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.11 $13.15 $21.48 74
ROIC Compounder $7.77 $10.14 $13.18 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.60 $7.96 $15.42 38
Owner Earnings $7.99 $15.11 $28.54 31
5Y Revenue Exit $7.11 $13.48 $22.67 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.76 $19.28 $31.99 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.08 $19.99 $32.08 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.01 $11.91 $22.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.08 $16.31 $30.31 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.30 $16.85 $30.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.99 $22.43 $31.15 54
Lynch FV $6.28 $8.97 $11.67 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.28 $8.97 $11.67 46
EPV $6.85 $7.85 $8.73 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.32 $16.43 $20.54 63
P/S Multiple $7.48 $9.98 $12.47 58
P/B Multiple $7.48 $9.98 $12.47 55
EV/EBIT $15.23 $20.04 $24.84 53
EV/EBITDA $12.65 $16.60 $20.54 54
EV/Revenue $8.11 $11.23 $14.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.24 $1.66 $2.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.51 $8.17 $13.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.11 $13.15 $21.48 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.95 $5.31 $28.41 61
ROIC Compounder $7.77 $10.14 $13.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.91 $15.58 $20.26 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($15.58) versus Asset-Based ($1.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $606B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin 15.2%
Return on equity 20.3%
Free cash flow $45.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 27.7
More key figures
Operating margin 25.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.6100
EPS growth (YoY) +26.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets semiconductor production equipment in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets semiconductor production equipment in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Semiconductor Production Equipment, Graphic Arts Equipment, Display Production Equipment and Coater, and Printed Circuit Board (PCB)-Related Equipment segments. The company offers wafer cleaning systems, such as wet stations, spin processors, and spin scrubbers; coat/develop trackers, and spray coaters; annealing systems; measurement systems, such as ellipsometric and spectroscopic film thickness measurement systems; inspection systems, including wafer pattern inspection systems; and advanced packaging lithography equipment comprising direct imaging system for panel level packages, as well as display production equipment. It also provides coater systems, slit coaters, roll-to-roll, vacuum film deposition, wet process, dryer/heater, and exposure; high-speed inkjets, inkjet labelling printing systems, water-based inkjet systems for flexible packaging; thermal plate recorders; flexo letterpresses, hybrid AM/FM screening products, workflow solutions, Hirangino fonts, color proofing systems, and uservoice products, as well as network support services. In addition, the company offers artificial intelligence-enabled high-speed search systems, dictionary creation systems, and document quality improvement solutions; and image analysis and text mining visualization technologies. Further, it engages in the development and sale of imaging systems, and inkjet printing system for tablets, as well as medical devices for organ transplantation; and production of membrane electrode assemblies for fuel cells and rechargeable batteries. The company was formerly known as Dainippon Screen Mfg. Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. in October 2014. SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SCREEN Holdings reported revenue of $625B in FY2025 versus $412B in FY2022, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was $99.5B in FY2025, compounding +29.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$625B
Latest YoY
+23.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.9%
Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY22 $412B
FY23 $461B
FY24 $505B
FY25 $625B
Net income +29.8%/yr
FY22 $45.5B
FY23 $57.5B
FY24 $70.6B
FY25 $99.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SCREEN Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCRNY

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 32 · sector 0
FUTURE 46 · sector 58
PAST 81 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 16

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$50.50 C$15.57 -69%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $579.43 $143.08 -75%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $346.10 $67.57 -80%
KLA Corporation KLAC $212.75 $53.01 -75%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥774.20 ¥151.43 -80%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥350.69 ¥41.79 -88%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥832.00 ¥431.44 -48%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,005 TWD 1,804 TWD -70%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥325.24 ¥33.33 -90%
MPI Corporation 6223 5,600 TWD 609.44 TWD -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SCREEN Holdings (SCRNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.31 versus a price of $16.53, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SCRNY?
Our model-based fair value for SCREEN Holdings is $16.31 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.53.
What is the quality score of SCRNY?
SCREEN Holdings has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SCREEN Holdings (SCRNY)?
SCREEN Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $606B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCRNY?
The net profit margin of SCREEN Holdings is about 15.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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