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SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd $16.24, price $16.64, upside -2.4%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US

SH SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd

SCRNY · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $16.24 · Fairly valued (−2.4%)
✓Quality 73/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +14.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/13)
✓Wide moat 79/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$23.00 $13.00 Fair Value $16.24 Apr 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

5‑month range $13.00 – $23.00 · fair‑value band $8.18 – $23.20 · the $16.64 price screens above the $16.24 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets semiconductor production equipment in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

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SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets semiconductor production equipment in Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Semiconductor Production Equipment, Graphic Arts Equipment, Display Production Equipment and Coater, and Printed Circuit Board (PCB)-Related Equipment segments. The company offers wafer cleaning systems, such as wet stations, spin processors, and spin scrubbers; coat/develop trackers, and spray coaters; annealing systems; measurement systems, such as ellipsometric and spectroscopic film thickness measurement systems; inspection systems, including wafer pattern inspection systems; and advanced packaging lithography equipment comprising direct imaging system for panel level packages, as well as display production equipment. It also provides coater systems, slit coaters, roll-to-roll, vacuum film deposition, wet process, dryer/heater, and exposure; high-speed inkjets, inkjet labelling printing systems, water-based inkjet systems for flexible packaging; thermal plate recorders; flexo letterpresses, hybrid AM/FM screening products, workflow solutions, Hirangino fonts, color proofing systems, and uservoice products, as well as network support services. In addition, the company offers artificial intelligence-enabled high-speed search systems, dictionary creation systems, and document quality improvement solutions; and image analysis and text mining visualization technologies. Further, it engages in the development and sale of imaging systems, and inkjet printing system for tablets, as well as medical devices for organ transplantation; and production of membrane electrode assemblies for fuel cells and rechargeable batteries. The company was formerly known as Dainippon Screen Mfg. Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. in October 2014. SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.

Stock analysis

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY) currently trades at $16.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.24, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.4%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $16.24 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the $16.64 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.73, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $8.18 (bear) to $23.20 (bull), the price of $16.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd reported revenue of ¥625B in FY2025 versus ¥412B in FY2022, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥99.5B in FY2025, compounding +29.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $16.0B · P/E ratio 27.3 · P/S ratio 4.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.6100 · Net margin 15.9% · Return on equity 20.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.3% · Operating margin 25.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −2%, SCRNY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.18 Fair Value $16.24 Bull $23.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6100 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.80 $8.31 $16.10 73
Growth DCF $4.71 $8.54 $14.49 73
EPV $7.14 $8.18 $9.10 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.80 $8.31 $16.10 73
Owner Earnings $8.34 $15.77 $29.78 69
5Y Revenue Exit $7.41 $14.05 $23.63 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.17 $20.10 $33.34 69
5Y P/E Exit $10.51 $20.84 $33.44 66
10Y Revenue Exit $6.27 $12.42 $22.97 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.43 $17.01 $31.59 62
10Y P/E Exit $8.66 $17.57 $31.68 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.16 $23.37 $32.47 61
Lynch FV $6.55 $9.35 $12.16 58
PEG = 1.0 $6.55 $9.35 $12.16 55
EPV $7.14 $8.18 $9.10 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.84 $17.13 $21.41 63
P/S Multiple $7.80 $10.40 $13.00 58
P/B Multiple $7.80 $10.40 $13.00 55
EV/EBIT $15.88 $20.88 $25.89 66
EV/EBITDA $13.19 $17.30 $21.41 67
EV/Revenue $8.45 $11.71 $14.96 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.29 $1.73 $2.59 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.71 $8.54 $14.49 73
Rev-Margin DCF $7.41 $13.71 $22.39 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.12 $5.53 >$22.14 55
ROIC Compounder $8.09 $10.57 $13.74 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.37 $16.24 $21.11 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 22%
2025 sits 72% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.4% a year for the price and +7.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.1%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+12.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+11.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+9.6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 217 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −2.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 5.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.14× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)46 · sector 84
PAST (return on equity)81 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 15

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥339.30 ¥110.10 −68%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥133.57 ¥13.84 −90%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥700.90 ¥320.60 −54%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.69 $70.44 −44%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCRNY

Frequently asked questions

Is SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.24 versus a price of $16.64, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SCRNY?
Our model-based fair value for SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is $16.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.64.
What is the quality score of SCRNY?
SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.18, optimistic scenario $23.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.24, about −2% upside versus a price of $16.64 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $8.18, optimistic scenario $23.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥606B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +14.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCRNY use?
Our models discount SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.59, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd that is -5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd grew +14.9 % a year. The price currently implies -5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (-5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.13 %: that much free cash flow SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd it is $16.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.64. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SCRNY trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.64, fair value $16.24, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCRNY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.24). For SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd the two are $0.3950 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd worth?
The market values SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd at about $16.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.64; our models calculate a fair value of $16.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCRNY?
Our models span a range for SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd: cautious scenario $8.18, base $16.24, optimistic $23.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SCRNY?
SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.24 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.0, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 17.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
Balance-sheet figures for SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 20.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.64, calculated fair value $16.24 (−2%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCRNY calculated?
We run SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $16.64. Our model-based fair value is $16.24, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($8.18 to $23.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Key figures of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The market capitalisation of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is $16.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is 4.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
Earnings per share at SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd are $0.6100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The net margin of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is 15.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is 20.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is 15.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
The operating margin of SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is 25.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
Revenue at SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd (SCRNY)?
Earnings per share at SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd are growing +26.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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