The Siam Cement Public Company (SCVPY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.1B
The Siam Cement Public Company
SCVPY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $5.73 to $5.68 (−0.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +10.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.63 – $11.94 · fair‑value band $4.26 – $7.10 · the $8.56 price screens above the $5.68 fair value. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
The Siam Cement Public Company (SCVPY) currently trades at $8.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.68, implying the stock looks roughly 33.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Siam Cement Public Company generated revenue of $496B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at $299B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.26 (bear case) to $7.10 (bull case); at $8.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -34%, SCVPY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($204.69) versus Dividend Discount ($59.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Siam Cement Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the cement and building materials, chemicals, and packaging businesses in Thailand and internationally. It operates through SCG Cement and Green Solutions; SCG Smart Living and SCG Distribution and Retail; SCG Decor; SCG Chemicals; SCGP; and Other segments.
Full company description
The Siam Cement Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the cement and building materials, chemicals, and packaging businesses in Thailand and internationally. It operates through SCG Cement and Green Solutions; SCG Smart Living and SCG Distribution and Retail; SCG Decor; SCG Chemicals; SCGP; and Other segments. The SCG Cement and Green Solutions segment produces cement, concrete products, and refractory cement, manages natural resource utilization. The SCG Smart Living and SCG Distribution and Retail segment manufactures building materials, including roof, ceiling and wall, fiberglass insulation, wood substitute, landscape, lightweight concrete block, paint, including smart solutions for home and building, and energy management, etc. This segment also distributes and retails cement, building materials, and other home and living products, as well as provides international supply chain solutions; and invests in logistics business. The SCG Decor segment produces and distributes ceramic tiles, sanitary ware, and related products, services, and solutions. The SCG Chemicals segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, vinyl, other chemical products, as well as provides industrial services and solutions. The SCGP segment engages in the integrated packaging of fiber packaging, packaging paper, consumer and performance packaging, and medical supplies and labware; and recycling of packaging material. This segment is also involved in the fibrous business comprising foodservice packaging, and pulp and paper products. The Other segment engages in the clean energy, pertinent technologies, and investment in other businesses. The Siam Cement Public Company Limited was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Siam Cement Public Company reported revenue of $476B in FY2025 versus $530B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $13.5B in FY2025, compounding −26.9%/yr from FY2021.
SCVPY screens 34% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Siam Cement PCL (SCVPY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong EBITDA Growth Amid ...
- Siam Cement PCL (SCVPY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong EBITDA Growth Amid Global ...
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
| Hanwha Corporation 000880 | 90,400 KRW | 71,165 KRW | -21% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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