Seibu Holdings (SEIBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.5B

Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Our model range runs from $11.96 (bear) to $19.94 (bull), base $15.95. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 30/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.58 – $33.00 · fair‑value band $11.96 – $19.94 · the $17.90 price screens above the $15.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Seibu Holdings (SEIBF) currently trades at $17.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.95, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Seibu Holdings generated revenue of $513B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 76.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at $589B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.96 (bear case) to $19.94 (bull case); at $17.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -11%, SEIBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2,615) versus Asset-Based ($1,509). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Seibu Holdings Inc. engages in the urban transportation, hotel and leisure, real estate, construction, and baseball team management businesses in Japan and internationally. It operates through Urban Transportation and Railway Business, Hotel and Leisure Business, Real Estate Business, and Others segments.

Full company description

Seibu Holdings Inc. engages in the urban transportation, hotel and leisure, real estate, construction, and baseball team management businesses in Japan and internationally. It operates through Urban Transportation and Railway Business, Hotel and Leisure Business, Real Estate Business, and Others segments. The company offers railway, bus, and taxi transportation services; and operates hotels, hot springs and spas, golf club and courses, ski resorts, tennis courts, bowling alleys, skating rinks, fitness clubs, and other leisure facilities. It also develops and sells detached houses, condominiums, and custom-built houses, and resort properties; leases office and residential facilities; and develops and operates stores in train stations, shopping malls, and other commercial facilities. In addition, the company maintains a professional baseball team under the Saitama Seibu Lions name; hosts concerts and other non-baseball events through Belluna Dome; and operates and manages amusement parks, aquariums, movie theaters, and pools. Further, it offers fire insurance, automobile insurance, travel insurance, and life insurance products; home and urban development services; pet care products; and builds cemeteries. Additionally, the company operates cram school for elementary school students; drive-in facilities; rest areas; toll roads; car and bicycle parking lots. Seibu Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Toshima, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Seibu Holdings reported revenue of $517B in FY2026 versus $397B in FY2022, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $39.1B in FY2026, compounding +38.5%/yr from FY2022.

SEIBF screens 11% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.