Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt IDR 192, price IDR 730, upside -73.8%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.71 IDR – 745.00 IDR · fair‑value band 143.67 IDR – 239.45 IDR · the 730.00 IDR price screens above the 191.56 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal trading business in Indonesia. The company operates through Coal, Nickel, Petroleum coke, Oil palm product, Sand and limestone, Contractor, and Fuel segment.
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PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal trading business in Indonesia. The company operates through Coal, Nickel, Petroleum coke, Oil palm product, Sand and limestone, Contractor, and Fuel segment. It is also involved in the operation and production of mining for coal freight and trading; sea shipment license; and mining services business license; providing freight and warehousing services, as well as contractor, basic inorganic chemical, and hotel businesses. PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sumbermas Inti Energi.
Stock analysis
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER) currently trades at 730.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 191.56 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 281.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 364.17 IDR per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 730.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 96.02 IDR, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 143.67 IDR (bear) to 239.45 IDR (bull), the price of 730.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt reported revenue of 6.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 213B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 11.4T IDR (≈ $636M) · P/E ratio 54.3 · P/S ratio 1.72 · EPS (TTM) 13.45 IDR · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 204% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −74%, SGER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 143.67 IDRFair Value 191.56 IDRBull 239.45 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (9.88 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+41.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Compare Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)54.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.20× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.71× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA32.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)8· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)35· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)45· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGER
Frequently asked questions
Is Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 191.56 IDR versus a price of 730.00 IDR, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGER?
Our model-based fair value for Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 191.56 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 730.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SGER?
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 191.56 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 143.67 IDR, optimistic scenario 239.45 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 191.56 IDR, about −74% upside versus a price of 730.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 143.67 IDR, optimistic scenario 239.45 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt pay a dividend?
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt it is 191.56 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 730.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SGER trades above its calculated fair value: price 730.00 IDR, fair value 191.56 IDR, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SGER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (730.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (191.56 IDR). For Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt the two are 538.44 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt worth?
The market values Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt at about 11.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 730.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 191.56 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SGER?
Our models span a range for Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt: cautious scenario 143.67 IDR, base 191.56 IDR, optimistic 239.45 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 730.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SGER?
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 191.56 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.2, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 32.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.6%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SGER from its 52-week high?
Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt trades at 730.00 IDR, about 2% below its 52-week high of 745.00 IDR and 204% above the low of 240.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 191.56 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, Yankuang Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 730.00 IDR, calculated fair value 191.56 IDR (−74%), Quality Score 35/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SGER calculated?
We run Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 191.56 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 730.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 191.56 IDR, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (239.45 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt
How large is the market capitalisation of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The market capitalisation of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 11.4T IDR (≈ $636M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 1.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Earnings per share at Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt are 13.45 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The dividend yield of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 2.2% (payout 121%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The net margin of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 18.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
The operating margin of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Revenue at Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is growing +1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER)?
Earnings per share at Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt are growing −2.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER) generate?
The free cash flow of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is −673B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt (SGER) carry?
The net debt of Sumber Global Energy Tbk Pt is 1.9T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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