PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, (SGER) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 6.3T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +16.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (239.45 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.71 IDR – 699.00 IDR · fair‑value band 143.67 IDR – 239.45 IDR · the 474.00 IDR price screens above the 191.56 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, (SGER) currently trades at 474.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 191.56 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, generated revenue of 6.8T IDR at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at 1.9T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 143.67 IDR (bear case) to 239.45 IDR (bull case); at 474.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -60%, SGER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (364.17 IDR) versus Asset-Based (96.02 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal trading business in Indonesia. The company operates through Coal, Nickel, Petroleum coke, Oil palm product, Sand and limestone, Contractor, and Fuel segment.
Full company description
PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the coal trading business in Indonesia. The company operates through Coal, Nickel, Petroleum coke, Oil palm product, Sand and limestone, Contractor, and Fuel segment. It is also involved in the operation and production of mining for coal freight and trading; sea shipment license; and mining services business license; providing freight and warehousing services, as well as contractor, basic inorganic chemical, and hotel businesses. PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sumbermas Inti Energi.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk, reported revenue of 6.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was 213B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021.
SGER screens 60% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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