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Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp stock $3.63, price $5.29, that is 31.4% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials US · Home Canada · ISIN CA8265991023

SL Sigma Lithium Resources Corp logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Sigma Lithium Resources Corp

SGML · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Profit last quarter +135% vs. a year ago.
Fair value $3.63 · Overvalued
Quality 25/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −47.3 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -19.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 28/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$42.40 $4.28 Fair Value $3.63 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.28 – $42.40 · fair‑value band $2.72 – $4.54 · the $5.29 price screens above the $3.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. It serves lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric vehicle industries.

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The company was formerly known as Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation and changed its name to Sigma Lithium Corporation in July 2021. Sigma Lithium Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML) currently trades at $5.29, while our estimate is $3.63, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $2.72 (bear) to $4.54 (bull), the price of $5.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Sigma Lithium Resources Corp reported revenue of C$110M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$50.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $591M Small · P/S ratio 4.23 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2400 · Net margin −19.3% · Return on equity −31.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 24.6% · Revenue (TTM) $142M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −31%, SGML screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $2.72 Fair Value $3.63 Bull $4.54
Price $5.29 · Downside -31.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 6
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 85
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 40
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 26
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 74
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SGML screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −17.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −19.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 24.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 223.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 10.44× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.15× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs SGML
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs SGML
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs SGML
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs SGML
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs SGML
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs SGML
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs SGML
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs SGML
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs SGML
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs SGML

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Sigma Lithium Resources Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sigma Lithium Resources Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGML

Frequently asked questions

Is Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $3.63 versus a price of $5.29, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGML?
Our estimate for Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is $3.63 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.29.
What is the quality score of SGML?
Sigma Lithium Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $3.63 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $2.72, optimistic scenario $4.54. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Sigma Lithium Resources Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $3.63, about 31% lower versus a price of $5.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.72, optimistic scenario $4.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Sigma Lithium Resources Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $142M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sigma Lithium Resources Corp it is $3.63 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $5.29.
Is Sigma Lithium Resources Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, SGML trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.29, fair value $3.63, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SGML?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.63). For Sigma Lithium Resources Corp the two are $1.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sigma Lithium Resources Corp worth?
The market values Sigma Lithium Resources Corp at about $591M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $5.29; our models calculate a fair value of $3.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SGML?
Our models span a range for Sigma Lithium Resources Corp: cautious scenario $2.72, base $3.63, optimistic $4.54 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $5.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −31.6%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SGML from its 52-week high?
Sigma Lithium Resources Corp trades at $5.29, about 78% below its 52-week high of $23.65 and 2% above the low of $5.21 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sigma Lithium Resources Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sigma Lithium Resources Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $5.29, calculated fair value $3.63 (−31%), Quality Score 25/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Sigma Lithium Resources Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $5.29. Our estimate is $3.63, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sigma Lithium Resources Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
The market capitalisation of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is $591M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is 4.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Earnings per share at Sigma Lithium Resources Corp are $−0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
The net margin of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is −19.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is −31.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is −11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
The operating margin of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is 24.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Revenue at Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is growing +224% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML)?
Earnings per share at Sigma Lithium Resources Corp are growing +135% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML) generate?
The free cash flow of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is −$8.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sigma Lithium Resources Corp (SGML) carry?
The net debt of Sigma Lithium Resources Corp is $137M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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