Shoprite Holdings (SHP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ZA · Market cap 153B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −3.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R251.67 – R300.27 · fair‑value band R177.80 – R385.80 · the R283.70 price screens below the R308.64 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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Shoprite Holdings (SHP) currently trades at R283.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R308.64, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shoprite Holdings generated revenue of 262B ZAR at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.9%. Net debt stands at 45.9B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R177.80 (bear case) to R385.80 (bull case); at R283.70, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 9%, SHP screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Shoprite Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in the food retail and wholesale business in South Africa and internationally. It operates through four segments: Supermarkets RSA, Supermarkets Non-RSA, and Other Operating segments. The company also offers clothing, general merchandise, cosmetics, and liquor products. In addition, it distributes various pharmaceutical products and surgical equipment to pharmacies, hospitals, clinics, dispensing doctors, and veterinary surgeons. In addition, it operates furniture stores retailing products, such as furniture, household appliances, and home entertainment systems. The company operates stores under the Shoprite, Checkers, Checkers Hyper, Usave, Checkers Foods, OK Furniture, House & Home, Shoprite LiquorShop, OK Franchise, Checkers LiquorShop, MediRite, UNIQ, Petshop Science, Checkers Outdoor, Transpharm, Checkers Little Me, Freshmark, Red Star Wholesale, Rainmaker, K'nect, Shoprite Send, Shoprite Cash & Carry, Computicket, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shoprite Holdings reported revenue of R253B in FY2025 versus R168B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was R7.6B in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.