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Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of Shoulder Innovations, Inc $6.17, price $18.09, upside -65.9%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US82837P4081

SI Shoulder Innovations, Inc logo Thin data Oct 16, 2026

Shoulder Innovations, Inc

SI · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 66% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +49.6 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $6.17 · Strongly overvalued (−65.9%)
Quality 39/100
Loss-making · -85.3% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 5/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$48.70 $11.01 Fair Value $6.17 Jul 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $11.01 – $48.70 · fair‑value band $4.07 – $7.72 · the $18.09 price screens above the $6.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.

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Company profile

Shoulder Innovations, Inc. engages in the provision of medical devices. It focuses on transforming the shoulder surgical care market. It also offers advanced implant systems for shoulder arthroplasty.

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The company was founded by Stephen B. Gunther and Michael DeVries in 2009 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, MI.

Stock analysis

Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI) currently trades at $18.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.17, 65.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $4.07 (bear) to $7.72 (bull), the price of $18.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shoulder Innovations, Inc reported revenue of $47.3M in FY2025 versus $19.3M in FY2023, a compound +56.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$40.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $375M · P/E ratio 22.3 · P/S ratio 6.19 · Net margin −85.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.2% · Revenue (TTM) $60.1M · Free cash flow −$36.0M · Net cash $11.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −66%, SI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.07 Fair Value $6.17 Bull $7.72
Price $18.09 · Upside -65.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $3.39 $4.55 $6.79 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.39 $4.55 $6.79 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 83
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 24
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 61
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 54
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 72
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

SI screens overvalued: fair value 66% below the price. Compare with DBS Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1048 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −23.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −85.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 22.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.71× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.34× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 50
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.76 ¥52.73 +23% vs SI
BNP Paribas SA BNP €89.59 €105.99 +18% vs SI
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €75.14 €77.12 +3% vs SI
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €11.91 €8.47 −29% vs SI
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 29.06 SGD 19.78 SGD −32% vs SI
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.09 €4.06 −33% vs SI
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.60 $6.83 −36% vs SI
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹726.85 ₹406.44 −44% vs SI
DBS Group D05 73.94 SGD 40.39 SGD −45% vs SI
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,389 ₹615.71 −56% vs SI

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Shoulder Innovations, Inc · Fair Value
$6.17 −66%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shoulder Innovations, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SI

Frequently asked questions

Is Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.17 versus a price of $18.09, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SI?
Our model-based fair value for Shoulder Innovations, Inc is $6.17 (as of Oct 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.09.
What is the quality score of SI?
Shoulder Innovations, Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.17 (as of Oct 16, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.07, optimistic scenario $7.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shoulder Innovations, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.17, about −66% upside versus a price of $18.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.07, optimistic scenario $7.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
Shoulder Innovations, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $60.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 16, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shoulder Innovations, Inc it is $6.17 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026), against a price of $18.09. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shoulder Innovations, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 16, 2026, SI trades above its calculated fair value: price $18.09, fair value $6.17, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($18.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.17). For Shoulder Innovations, Inc the two are $11.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shoulder Innovations, Inc worth?
The market values Shoulder Innovations, Inc at about $375M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 16, 2026). Per share that is $18.09; our models calculate a fair value of $6.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SI?
Our models span a range for Shoulder Innovations, Inc: cautious scenario $4.07, base $6.17, optimistic $7.72 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026, price $18.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SI?
Shoulder Innovations, Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.3 (as of Oct 16, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shoulder Innovations, Inc (as of Oct 16, 2026): debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SI from its 52-week high?
Shoulder Innovations, Inc trades at $18.09, about 63% below its 52-week high of $48.70 and 64% above the low of $11.01 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shoulder Innovations, Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shoulder Innovations, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 16, 2026: price $18.09, calculated fair value $6.17 (−66%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SI calculated?
We run Shoulder Innovations, Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Shoulder Innovations, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $18.09. Our model-based fair value is $6.17, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shoulder Innovations, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($4.07 to $7.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shoulder Innovations, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
The market capitalisation of Shoulder Innovations, Inc is $375M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shoulder Innovations, Inc is 6.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
The net margin of Shoulder Innovations, Inc is −85.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shoulder Innovations, Inc is −23.2% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI) generate?
The free cash flow of Shoulder Innovations, Inc is −$36.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shoulder Innovations, Inc (SI) hold?
Shoulder Innovations, Inc holds more cash than debt, $11.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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