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Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Siljansvik AB (publ) SEK 82.78, price SEK 115, upside -28.0%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · SE · ISIN SE0000201253

SA Some data Sep 24, 2026

Siljansvik AB (publ)

SIVI · ST

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value kr 82.78 · Overvalued (−28%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −49.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 102.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.19% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 127.48 kr 36.54 Fair Value kr 82.78 Jan 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range kr 36.54 – kr 127.48 · fair‑value band kr 71.53 – kr 83.66 · the kr 115.00 price screens above the kr 82.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Siljansvik AB (publ) provides for digital communication and energy in Sweden. It operates electricity power grid and fiber network, as well as builds new homes. The company was formerly known as Dala Energi AB (publ) and change its name to Siljansvik AB (publ) in December 2025. The company was incorporated in 1897 and is based in Leksand, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI) currently trades at kr 115.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 82.78, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 102.19 per share, and 1 of the 10 models we run sit above the kr 115.00 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 30.84, and 9 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: kr 71.53 (bear) to kr 83.66 (bull), the price of kr 115.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Siljansvik AB (publ) reported revenue of 42.8M SEK in FY2025 versus 307M SEK in FY2021, a compound −38.9%/yr. Reported net income was 67.0M SEK in FY2025, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.6B SEK (≈ $159M) · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 33.5 · EPS (TTM) kr 5.37 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 103% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −28%, SIVI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 71.53 Fair Value kr 82.78 Bull kr 83.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 2.09 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings kr 92.16 kr 101.36 kr 116.18 75
Residual Income kr 99.16 kr 95.42 kr 73.59 73
Gordon GGM kr 28.86 kr 30.84 kr 33.77 67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 92.16 kr 101.36 kr 116.18 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 33.11 kr 40.47 kr 45.53 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 28.86 kr 30.84 kr 33.77 67
DDM Multi-Stage kr 28.86 kr 33.40 kr 39.07 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 102.26 kr 136.35 kr 170.44 63
P/S Multiple kr 12.84 kr 17.12 kr 21.40 58
P/B Multiple kr 62.09 kr 82.78 kr 103.48 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 74.58 kr 99.94 kr 149.16 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 99.16 kr 95.42 kr 73.59 73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 71.53 kr 102.19 kr 132.84 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 1
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 12
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−89.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−49.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → −99%

SIVI screens 39% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 159 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 103% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 400% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.77× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 25.68× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)10 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 53
DIVIDEND (yield)44 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $75.62 $29.97 −60%
The Southern Company SO $83.47 $58.74 −30%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $114.17 $74.89 −34%
American Electric Power Company AEP $118.40 $100.09 −15%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $61.17 $37.67 −38%
Entergy Corporation ETR $99.23 $38.37 −61%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $70.66 $54.92 −22%
Exelon Corporation EXC $40.69 $36.26 −11%
Consolidated Edison, Inc ED $102.61 $47.92 −53%
Public Service Enterprise Group PEG $67.31 $33.43 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Siljansvik AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIVI

Frequently asked questions

Is Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 82.78 versus a price of kr 115.00, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIVI?
Our model-based fair value for Siljansvik AB (publ) is kr 82.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 115.00.
What is the quality score of SIVI?
Siljansvik AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 82.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 71.53, optimistic scenario kr 83.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Siljansvik AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 82.78, about −28% upside versus a price of kr 115.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 71.53, optimistic scenario kr 83.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Siljansvik AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 61.6M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Siljansvik AB (publ) pay a dividend?
Siljansvik AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Siljansvik AB (publ) it is kr 82.78 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 115.00. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Siljansvik AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SIVI trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 115.00, fair value kr 82.78, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIVI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 115.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 82.78). For Siljansvik AB (publ) the two are kr 32.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Siljansvik AB (publ) worth?
The market values Siljansvik AB (publ) at about 1.6B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 115.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 82.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIVI?
Our models span a range for Siljansvik AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 71.53, base kr 82.78, optimistic kr 83.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 115.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIVI?
Siljansvik AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 82.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 25.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Siljansvik AB (publ) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIVI from its 52-week high?
Siljansvik AB (publ) trades at kr 115.00, about 10% below its 52-week high of kr 127.48 and 39% above the low of kr 82.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 82.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Siljansvik AB (publ)?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Siljansvik AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 115.00, calculated fair value kr 82.78 (−28%), Quality Score 40/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIVI calculated?
We run Siljansvik AB (publ) through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 82.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Siljansvik AB (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 115.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 82.78, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Siljansvik AB (publ) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 83.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Siljansvik AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The market capitalisation of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 1.6B SEK (≈ $159M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 33.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Earnings per share at Siljansvik AB (publ) are kr 5.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The dividend yield of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 2.2% (payout 46.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The net margin of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 103% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 16.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
The operating margin of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Revenue at Siljansvik AB (publ) is growing +400% versus a year earlier (3y avg −49.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI)?
Earnings per share at Siljansvik AB (publ) are growing +51.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI) generate?
The free cash flow of Siljansvik AB (publ) is −77.6M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Siljansvik AB (publ) (SIVI) carry?
The net debt of Siljansvik AB (publ) is 392M SEK (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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