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SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. ₹57.47, price ₹94.05, upside -38.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Materials · IN · ISIN INE970C01012

SK Thin data Sep 24, 2026

SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD.

SKPMIL · BSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ₹57.47 · Strongly overvalued (−39%)
!Quality 54/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ₹30.75 to ₹113.90
!Weak on dividend: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹149.30 ₹12.00 Fair Value ₹57.47 May 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹12.00 – ₹149.30 · fair‑value band ₹30.75 – ₹113.90 · the ₹94.05 price screens above the ₹57.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Stock analysis

SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL) currently trades at ₹94.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹57.47, implying the stock looks roughly 63.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹358.84 per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹94.05 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹16.30, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹30.75 (bear) to ₹113.90 (bull), the price of ₹94.05 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. reported revenue of ₹2.3B in FY2026 versus ₹1.0B in FY2022, a compound +21.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹194M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.3B (≈ $13.3M) · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) ₹14.38 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 44.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −39%, SKPMIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹30.75 Fair Value ₹57.47 Bull ₹113.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.01 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹27.62 ₹33.72 ₹38.98 74
ROIC Compounder ₹27.62 ₹33.72 ₹38.98 72
Owner Earnings ₹164.37 ₹358.84 ₹736.56 71
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹164.37 ₹358.84 ₹736.56 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹97.80 ₹631.68 ₹883.50 63
Lynch FV ₹183.33 ₹261.90 ₹340.47 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹183.33 ₹261.90 ₹340.47 57
EPV ₹27.62 ₹33.72 ₹38.98 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹9.47 ₹18.86 ₹28.56 67
DDM Multi-Stage ₹9.47 ₹16.30 ₹19.91 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹183.37 ₹244.49 ₹305.62 63
P/S Multiple ₹183.37 ₹244.49 ₹305.62 58
P/B Multiple ₹87.93 ₹117.24 ₹146.55 55
EV/EBIT ₹38.56 ₹55.08 ₹71.60 65
EV/EBITDA ₹47.14 ₹66.51 ₹85.88 67
EV/Revenue ₹31.96 ₹50.36 ₹68.77 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹19.54 ₹26.18 ₹39.08 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹116.78 ₹191.74 ₹2,942 64
ROIC Compounder ₹27.62 ₹33.72 ₹38.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹236.39 ₹337.69 ₹439.00 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 85
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+86.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+85.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 3%
2026 sits 1,625% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

SKPMIL screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Eagon Holdings →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Paper & Forest Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3629 stocks

Beats the sector median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.56× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)74 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)22 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Forest Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eagon Holdings 039020 2,555 KRW 5,824 KRW +128%
AKTR AKTR €10.08 €1.50 −85%
DAIOS DAIOS €7.80 €8.58 +10%
NITTAGELA NITTAGELA ₹1,703 ₹1,873 +10%
INDOKEM INDOKEM ₹612.70 ₹1,081 +76%
TGVSL TGVSL ₹107.50 ₹131.38 +22%
Transpek Industry Limited 506687 ₹1,321 ₹1,176 −11%
TUTIALKA TUTIALKA ₹55.13 ₹44.52 −19%
KILPEST KILPEST ₹1,367 ₹1,431 +5%
VIPULORG VIPULORG ₹262.05 ₹54.74 −79%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKPMIL

Frequently asked questions

Is SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹57.47 versus a price of ₹94.05, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKPMIL?
Our model-based fair value for SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹57.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹94.05.
What is the quality score of SKPMIL?
SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹57.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹30.75, optimistic scenario ₹113.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹57.47, about −39% upside versus a price of ₹94.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹30.75, optimistic scenario ₹113.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. pay a dividend?
SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. it is ₹57.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹94.05. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SKPMIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹94.05, fair value ₹57.47, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKPMIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹94.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹57.47). For SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. the two are ₹36.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. worth?
The market values SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. at about ₹1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹94.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹57.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKPMIL?
Our models span a range for SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹30.75, base ₹57.47, optimistic ₹113.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹94.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SKPMIL?
SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹57.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 44.6%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SKPMIL from its 52-week high?
SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. trades at ₹94.05, about 37% below its 52-week high of ₹149.30 and 67% above the low of ₹56.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹57.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD.?
From the same area (Materials) we also value Eagon Holdings, AKTR, DAIOS, NITTAGELA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹94.05, calculated fair value ₹57.47 (−39%), Quality Score 54/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKPMIL calculated?
We run SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹57.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹94.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹57.47, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹30.75 to ₹113.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD.

How large is the market capitalisation of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The market capitalisation of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹1.3B (≈ $13.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is 0.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
Earnings per share at SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. are ₹14.38 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The dividend yield of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is 1.1% (payout 7.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The net margin of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is 8.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is 44.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
The operating margin of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
Revenue at SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is growing +14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL)?
Earnings per share at SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. are growing +19.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL) generate?
The free cash flow of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is −₹101M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. (SKPMIL) carry?
The net debt of SHREE KRISHNA PAPER MILLS & INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹418M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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