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Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $394M

SM Summit Midstream Corporation logo Summit Midstream Corporation SMC · US
Price$30.35
Fair Value$10.97
Upside-63.9%
Quality34/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -4.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.76 – $29.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.76 to $29.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$45.21 $12.02 Fair Value $10.97 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.02 – $45.21 · fair‑value band $6.76 – $29.77 · the $30.35 price screens above the $10.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) currently trades at $30.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.97, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Summit Midstream Corporation generated revenue of $569M at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.76 (bear case) to $29.77 (bull case); at $30.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -64%, SMC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $2.44 74
Gordon GGM $7.53 $13.57 $18.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.53 $12.40 $14.50 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $4.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.78 $51.60 41
10Y EBITDA Exit $32.05 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.53 $13.57 $18.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.53 $12.40 $14.50 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.72 53
EV/EBITDA $15.01 $37.13 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.88 $33.34 $49.77 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $2.44 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($33.34) versus DCF Models ($9.78). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $569M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin -4.0%
Return on equity -3.5%
Free cash flow $44.6M FY2025
Operating margin 12.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.88
Net debt $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 7
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Summit Midstream Corporation owns, develops, and operates midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale formations in the continental United States. It operates through Rockies, Permian, Piceance, Mid-Con, and Northeast segments.

Full company description

Summit Midstream Corporation owns, develops, and operates midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale formations in the continental United States. It operates through Rockies, Permian, Piceance, Mid-Con, and Northeast segments. The company owns, develops, and operates natural gas, crude oil, produced water gathering systems, and transmission pipelines. It serves natural gas and crude oil producers. Summit Midstream Corporation was founded in 2009 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Summit Midstream Corporation reported revenue of $562M in FY2025 versus $402M in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$562M
Latest YoY
+30.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+4.0%
Revenue +8.8%/yr
FY21 $402M
FY22 $370M
FY23 $459M
FY24 $430M
FY25 $562M
Net income
FY21 −$19.9M
FY22 −$123M
FY23 −$38.9M
FY24 −$113M
FY25 −$1.9M

SMC screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Summit Midstream Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMC

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.49× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 25 · sector 41
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 26 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.97 versus a price of $30.35, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMC?
Our model-based fair value for Summit Midstream Corporation is $10.97 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.35.
What is the quality score of SMC?
Summit Midstream Corporation has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC)?
Summit Midstream Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $569M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMC?
The net profit margin of Summit Midstream Corporation is about -4.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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