Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $154M
Smith-Midland Corporation
SMID · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($16.03 to $38.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.21 – $50.03 · fair‑value band $16.03 – $38.14 · the $28.66 price screens above the $22.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) currently trades at $28.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.02, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smith-Midland Corporation generated revenue of $92.3M at a net margin of 11.4%. Revenue declined 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.03 (bear case) to $38.14 (bull case); at $28.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -23%, SMID screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($32.89) versus Asset-Based ($6.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smith-Midland Corporation invents, develops, manufactures, markets, leases, licenses, sells, and installs various precast concrete products and systems.
Full company description
Smith-Midland Corporation invents, develops, manufactures, markets, leases, licenses, sells, and installs various precast concrete products and systems. The company offers SlenderWall lightweight construction panel, a lightweight exterior cladding used for the exterior walls of buildings; Sierra Wall that provides sound and sight barrier for use alongside highways around residential, industrial, and commercial properties; J-J Hooks highway safety barriers, which are used on roadways to separate lanes of traffic in construction work zone or traffic control purposes; and Easi-Set precast building and Easi-Span expandable precast buildings for use in housing communications operations, traffic control systems, and mechanical and electrical stations. It also provides Easi-Set utility vaults used to house equipment, such as cable, telephone, or traffic signal equipment, and for underground storage, as well as manufactures custom-built utility vaults for special needs; SoftSound soundwall panels that absorbs highway noise; Beach Prisms erosion control modules for seawalls and jetties; and H2Out secondary drainage and street level leak detection product for panelized exterior cladding. The company licenses its proprietary products in the United States, Canada, New Zealand, Australia, Belgium, Mexico, and Trinidad. It markets its products through in-house sales force and independent sales representatives; contractors performing public and private construction contracts, such as construction of commercial buildings, public and private roads and highways, airports, and municipal utilities; and federal, state, and local transportation authorities. The company serves construction, highway, utilities, and farming industries. Smith-Midland Corporation was founded in 1960 and is based in Midland, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smith-Midland Corporation reported revenue of $93.4M in FY2025 versus $50.6M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was $12.5M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SMID screens 23% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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