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Smoltek Nanotech Holding (SMOL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 348M SEK

SN Smoltek Nanotech Holding SMOL · ST
Pricekr 1.46
Fair Valuekr 0.1785
Upside-87.8%
Quality36/100
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Low Range kr 0.1275 – kr 0.2635 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −39.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and the price sits another 88% above our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.2635). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.1275 to kr 0.2635) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 41.35 kr 0.2800 Fair Value kr 0.1785 May 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.2800 – kr 41.35 · fair‑value band kr 0.1275 – kr 0.2635 · the kr 1.46 price screens above the kr 0.1785 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Smoltek Nanotech Holding (SMOL) currently trades at kr 1.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.1785, implying the stock looks roughly 87.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 4.1M SEK. Revenue declined 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -50.9%. Net debt stands at 10.3M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.1275 (bear case) to kr 0.2635 (bull case); at kr 1.46, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 356% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -88%, SMOL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1500 kr 0.2100 kr 0.3100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.1500 kr 0.2100 kr 0.3100 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.1M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.0%
Return on equity -50.9%
Free cash flow −42.6M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -865%
EPS (TTM) kr -0.1700
More key figures
Net debt 10.3M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Smoltek Nanotech Holding AB operates as a nanotechnology company in Sweden. It develops nanostructure fabrication technology for the semiconductor industry. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Smoltek Nanotech Holding reported revenue of kr 644K in FY2025 versus kr 2.7M in FY2022, a compound −37.9%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 36.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
644K SEK
Latest YoY
−65.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−37.9%
Revenue −37.9%/yr
FY22 kr 2.7M
FY23 kr 8.5M
FY24 kr 1.9M
FY25 kr 644K
Net income
FY22 −kr 46.8M
FY23 −kr 51.3M
FY24 −kr 33.4M
FY25 −kr 36.1M

SMOL sits 88% above fair value. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smoltek Nanotech Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMOL

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 237 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -21% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.93× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 0
FUTURE 0 / 69
PAST 0 / 30
HEALTH 89 / 96
DIVIDEND 0 / 14

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$50.50 C$15.57 -69%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $579.43 $143.08 -75%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $346.10 $67.57 -80%
KLA Corporation KLAC $212.75 $53.01 -75%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥774.20 ¥151.43 -80%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥350.69 ¥41.79 -88%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥832.00 ¥431.44 -48%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,005 TWD 1,804 TWD -70%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥325.24 ¥33.33 -90%
MPI Corporation 6223 5,600 TWD 609.44 TWD -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Smoltek Nanotech Holding (SMOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.1785 versus a price of kr 1.46, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMOL?
Our model-based fair value for Smoltek Nanotech Holding is kr 0.1785 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.46.
What is the quality score of SMOL?
Smoltek Nanotech Holding has a Quality Score of 36/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Smoltek Nanotech Holding (SMOL)?
Smoltek Nanotech Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMOL?
The net profit margin of Smoltek Nanotech Holding is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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