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Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sentinel Metals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000421307

SM Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Sentinel Metals Ltd

SNM · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0510 · Strongly overvalued (−91%)
!Quality 21/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +2824.5 %/yr)
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.7700 A$0.2750 Fair Value A$0.0510 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range A$0.2750 – A$0.7700 · fair‑value band A$0.0340 – A$0.0680 · the A$0.5500 price screens above the A$0.0510 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Sentinel Metals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of gold resources in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Columbia Gold and silver Project covering an area of approximately 1,260 hectares located in central west Montana.

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Sentinel Metals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of gold resources in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Columbia Gold and silver Project covering an area of approximately 1,260 hectares located in central west Montana. Sentinel Metals Limited was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) currently trades at A$0.5500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 978.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0340 (bear) to A$0.0680 (bull), the price of A$0.5500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Sentinel Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$40.7K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −A$1.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$82.8M (≈ $59.3M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −26.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% · Operating margin −6,946% · Revenue (TTM) A$30.1K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −91%, SNM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0340 Fair Value A$0.0510 Bull A$0.0680
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1200 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1200 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

SNM screens 979% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.95× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $128.00 $175.41 +37%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥32.26 ¥57.62 +79%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$278.09 C$313.75 +13%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $43.68 $60.62 +39%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $266.00 $292.60 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$213.75 C$112.10 −48%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.42 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$160.10 HK$147.86 −8%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $29.13 $51.02 +75%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.28 $277.51 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sentinel Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNM

Frequently asked questions

Is Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0510 versus a price of A$0.5500, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNM?
Our model-based fair value for Sentinel Metals Ltd is A$0.0510 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5500.
What is the quality score of SNM?
Sentinel Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0510 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0680. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sentinel Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0510, about −91% upside versus a price of A$0.5500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0680. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Sentinel Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$30.1K (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sentinel Metals Ltd it is A$0.0510 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.5500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sentinel Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SNM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.5500, fair value A$0.0510, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0510). For Sentinel Metals Ltd the two are A$0.4990 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sentinel Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Sentinel Metals Ltd at about A$82.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0510 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNM?
Our models span a range for Sentinel Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0340, base A$0.0510, optimistic A$0.0680 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.5500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sentinel Metals Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −26.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNM from its 52-week high?
Sentinel Metals Ltd trades at A$0.5500, about 29% below its 52-week high of A$0.7700 and 108% above the low of A$0.2650 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0510 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sentinel Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sentinel Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.5500, calculated fair value A$0.0510 (−91%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNM calculated?
We run Sentinel Metals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0510, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Sentinel Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Sentinel Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0680). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0340 to A$0.0680) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sentinel Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The market capitalisation of Sentinel Metals Ltd is A$82.8M (≈ $59.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
Earnings per share at Sentinel Metals Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sentinel Metals Ltd is −26.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sentinel Metals Ltd is −5.7% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM)?
The operating margin of Sentinel Metals Ltd is −6,946% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
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