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Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Volato Group Inc. $0.19, price $0.28, upside -31.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026
Thin data
Sep 27, 2026
Volato Group Inc.
SOAR · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $0.1933 · Overvalued (−31.2%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −6.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/5)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range $0.1280 – $710.70 · fair‑value band $0.1063 – $0.3323 · the $0.2810 price screens above the $0.1933 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Volato Group, Inc. operates as a private aviation company in the United States. The company offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. It also sells airplanes; and provides Vaunt, a software-as-a-service subscription platform.
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Volato Group, Inc. operates as a private aviation company in the United States. The company offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. It also sells airplanes; and provides Vaunt, a software-as-a-service subscription platform. In addition, the company offers Mission Control, a cloud-based software which provides a robust, API-first solution streamlining critical functions across flight scheduling, customer relationship management (CRM), and crew management; and Parslee, an enterprise artificial intelligence platform that automates workflows and document processing within Microsoft 365 environments. Volato Group, Inc. was founded in 2021 and is based in Chamblee, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) currently trades at $0.2810, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1933, 31.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.83 per share, and 21 of the 21 models we run sit above the $0.2810 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.07, and 0 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1063 (bear) to $0.3323 (bull), the price of $0.2810 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Volato Group Inc. reported revenue of $78.6M in FY2025 versus $1.1M in FY2021, a compound +193.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $7.1M · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1700 · Net margin 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Operating margin −235% · Revenue (TTM) $54.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −96.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 92% below its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −31%, SOAR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1063
Fair Value $0.1933
Bull $0.3323
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV
$0.9400
$1.07
$1.19
70
FCF DCF
$3.21
$4.88
$10.08
69
Growth DCF
$3.02
$5.64
$9.87
67
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$3.21
$4.88
$10.08
69
Owner Earnings
$3.77
$8.20
$17.17
63
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.73
$2.62
$4.48
63
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.79
$2.75
$4.62
66
5Y P/E Exit
$2.53
$5.25
$8.92
61
10Y Revenue Exit
$2.16
$3.95
$4.88
60
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.24
$4.08
$7.03
59
10Y P/E Exit
$2.77
$5.64
$10.25
54
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.8900
$6.24
$8.75
59
Lynch FV
$3.22
$4.60
$5.98
57
PEG = 1.0
$3.22
$4.60
$5.98
53
EPV
$0.9400
$1.07
$1.19
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.07
$2.76
$3.45
63
P/S Multiple
$1.68
$2.24
$2.79
58
EV/EBIT
$1.40
$1.83
$2.26
63
EV/EBITDA
$1.18
$1.54
$1.89
64
EV/Revenue
$1.04
$1.43
$1.82
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$3.02
$5.64
$9.87
67
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.88
$2.99
$5.34
63
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$0.9400
$1.07
$1.19
66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$4.21
$6.02
$7.83
63
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Profitability
84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+69.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−207.9% (2021) → 5.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+70.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +66.8% a year for the price.
SOAR screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airports & Air Services · 51 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA | €25.60 | €28.16 | +10% |
| Airports of Thailand Public Company AOT | 62.25 THB | 54.20 THB | −13% |
| GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA | ₹97.57 | ₹22.29 | −77% |
| Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 | ¥22.46 | ¥24.71 | +10% |
| Auckland International Airport Limited AIA | A$6.87 | A$3.33 | −52% |
| Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN | CHF 196.40 | CHF 127.42 | −35% |
| Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL | kr 5,520 | kr 1,891 | −66% |
| Fraport AG FRA | €62.00 | €35.02 | −44% |
| Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU | €53.40 | €58.74 | +10% |
| SATS Ltd S58 | 3.83 SGD | 5.30 SGD | +38% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1933 versus a price of $0.2810, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOAR?
Our model-based fair value for Volato Group Inc. is $0.1933 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2810.
What is the quality score of SOAR?
Volato Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1933 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1063, optimistic scenario $0.3323. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Volato Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1933, about −31% upside versus a price of $0.2810 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1063, optimistic scenario $0.3323. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
Volato Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $54.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Volato Group Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +70.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +193.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOAR use?
Our models discount Volato Group Inc. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Volato Group Inc. that is +70.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Volato Group Inc. grew +193.7 % a year. The price currently implies +70.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Volato Group Inc. (+70.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.27 %: that much free cash flow Volato Group Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Volato Group Inc. it is $0.1933 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.2810. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Volato Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SOAR trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2810, fair value $0.1933, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2810); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1933). For Volato Group Inc. the two are $0.0877 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Volato Group Inc. worth?
The market values Volato Group Inc. at about $7.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.2810; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1933 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOAR?
Our models span a range for Volato Group Inc.: cautious scenario $0.1063, base $0.1933, optimistic $0.3323 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.2810). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Volato Group Inc. (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOAR from its 52-week high?
Volato Group Inc. trades at $0.2810, about 92% below its 52-week high of $3.57 and 120% above the low of $0.1280 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1933 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Volato Group Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Aena S.M.E., S.A, Airports of Thailand Public Company, GMR Airports Limited, Shanghai International Airport Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Volato Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.2810, calculated fair value $0.1933 (−31%), Quality Score 56/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOAR calculated?
We run Volato Group Inc. through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1933, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Volato Group Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.2810. Our model-based fair value is $0.1933, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Volato Group Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.1063 to $0.3323). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Volato Group Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
The market capitalisation of Volato Group Inc. is $7.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Volato Group Inc. is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
Earnings per share at Volato Group Inc. are $−0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
The net margin of Volato Group Inc. is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Volato Group Inc. is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
The operating margin of Volato Group Inc. is −235% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Volato Group Inc. (SOAR)?
Revenue at Volato Group Inc. is growing −96.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Volato Group Inc. (SOAR) hold?
Volato Group Inc. holds more cash than debt, $340K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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