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Volato Group (SOAR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $7.1M

VG Volato Group logo Volato Group SOAR · US
Price$0.1360
Fair Value$0.1870
Upside+37.5%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1398 – $0.2330 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −12.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1398). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$710.70 $0.1283 Fair Value $0.1870 Jan 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range $0.1283 – $710.70 · fair‑value band $0.1398 – $0.2330 · the $0.1360 price screens below the $0.1870 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Volato Group (SOAR) currently trades at $0.1360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1870, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Volato Group generated revenue of $54.1M at a net margin of 3.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1398 (bear case) to $0.2330 (bull case); at $0.1360, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 38%, SOAR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.05 $1.61 $2.50 72
Growth-Adj P/E $4.21 $6.02 $7.83 68
Rev-Margin DCF $1.21 $2.05 $3.82 67
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.11 $1.51 $2.66 38
Owner Earnings $1.62 $3.06 $5.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.10 $1.81 $3.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.16 $1.92 $3.41 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.81 $4.03 $7.07 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.07 $2.14 $2.80 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.14 $2.23 $4.11 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.54 $3.43 $6.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8900 $6.24 $8.75 54
Lynch FV $3.22 $4.60 $5.98 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.22 $4.60 $5.98 46
EPV $0.7700 $0.8400 $0.9100 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.07 $2.76 $3.45 63
P/S Multiple $1.68 $2.24 $2.79 58
EV/EBIT $1.40 $1.83 $2.26 53
EV/EBITDA $1.18 $1.54 $1.89 54
EV/Revenue $1.04 $1.43 $1.82 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.05 $1.61 $2.50 72
Rev-Margin DCF $1.21 $2.05 $3.82 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.7700 $0.8400 $0.9100 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.21 $6.02 $7.83 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($6.02) versus Economic Profit ($0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $54.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -96.1%
Net margin 3.9%
Free cash flow $3.3M FY2025
Operating margin -235%
EPS (TTM) $-0.1700
More key figures
Net cash $340K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Volato Group, Inc. operates as a private aviation company in the United States. The company offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. It also sells airplanes; and provides Vaunt, a software-as-a-service subscription platform.

Full company description

Volato Group, Inc. operates as a private aviation company in the United States. The company offers fractional ownership, aircraft management, jet cards, deposit, and charter programs. It also sells airplanes; and provides Vaunt, a software-as-a-service subscription platform. In addition, the company offers Mission Control, a cloud-based software which provides a robust, API-first solution streamlining critical functions across flight scheduling, customer relationship management (CRM), and crew management; and Parslee, an enterprise artificial intelligence platform that automates workflows and document processing within Microsoft 365 environments. Volato Group, Inc. was founded in 2021 and is based in Chamblee, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Volato Group reported revenue of $78.6M in FY2025 versus $1.1M in FY2021, a compound +193.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$78.6M
Latest YoY
+69.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.7%
Revenue +193.7%/yr
FY21 $1.1M
FY22 $96.7M
FY23 $35.6M
FY24 $46.3M
FY25 $78.6M
Net income
FY21 −$1.5M
FY22 −$9.4M
FY23 −$52.8M
FY24 −$40.6M
FY25 $5.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Volato Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOAR

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +38% · Above median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -96% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 83 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 45
HEALTH 0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.24 €28.41 +8%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.44 SGD 1.25 SGD -49%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $220.91 $246.06 +11%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹112.80 ₹22.29 -80%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 237.20 CHF 121.30 -49%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥24.08 ¥17.09 -29%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.11 A$2.80 -61%
Fraport AG FRA €69.35 €49.83 -28%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,660 kr 1,821 -68%
SATS Ltd S58 4.82 SGD 4.03 SGD -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Volato Group (SOAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1870 versus a price of $0.1360, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOAR?
Our model-based fair value for Volato Group is $0.1870 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1360.
What is the quality score of SOAR?
Volato Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Volato Group (SOAR)?
Volato Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $54.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOAR?
The net profit margin of Volato Group is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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