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Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Pharos Energy plc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Pharos Energy plc
SOCLF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.2600 · Strongly overvalued (−35%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·4.50% dividend yield
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1134 – $1.98 · fair‑value band $0.2100 – $0.3100 · the $0.4000 price screens above the $0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Pharos Energy plc, an independent energy company, explores, develops, and produces oil and gas properties in Vietnam and Egypt. The company was formerly known as SOCO International plc and changed its name to Pharos Energy plc in October 2019. Pharos Energy plc was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF) currently trades at $0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2600, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.7100 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the $0.4000 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1300, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2100 (bear) to $0.3100 (bull), the price of $0.4000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Pharos Energy plc reported revenue of $117M in FY2025 versus $124M in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $165M · P/S ratio 1.62 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0200 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin −5.8% · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6% · Operating margin −8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −35%, SOCLF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2100
Fair Value $0.2600
Bull $0.3100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.8200
$0.9800
$1.28
82
Growth DCF
$0.8400
$0.9900
$1.25
80
Owner Earnings
$0.5800
$0.6900
$0.8800
78
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.8200
$0.9800
$1.28
82
Owner Earnings
$0.5800
$0.6900
$0.8800
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.4900
$0.5500
$0.6400
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.7100
$0.9200
$1.21
76
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.6400
$0.7100
$0.7700
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.7600
$0.9200
$1.09
70
Earnings-Based
EPV
$0.1400
$0.1500
$0.1500
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.1100
$0.1300
$0.1500
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.1100
$0.1400
$0.1600
67
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2500
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.7000
$0.9000
$1.10
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2100
$0.2600
$0.3100
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.3400
$0.4600
$0.6900
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.8400
$0.9900
$1.25
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.4900
$0.5700
$0.6800
74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$0.1400
$0.1500
$0.1500
72
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Profitability
8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
98
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−162.9% (2020) → 4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−22.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+30.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−2.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)−2.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)−1.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)−1.0%
SOCLF screens 54% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Compare Pharos Energy plc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 302 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥33.91 | ¥37.30 | +10% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $137.35 | $90.15 | −34% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | C$69.32 | C$76.25 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $147.36 | $165.02 | +12% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $61.46 | $30.06 | −51% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $204.97 | $242.64 | +18% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $50.23 | $55.25 | +10% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.86 | A$21.75 | −34% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $54.07 | $59.48 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $369.10 | $318.08 | −14% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2600 versus a price of $0.4000, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOCLF?
Our model-based fair value for Pharos Energy plc is $0.2600 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4000.
What is the quality score of SOCLF?
Pharos Energy plc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2600 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $0.3100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pharos Energy plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2600, about −35% upside versus a price of $0.4000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $0.3100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Pharos Energy plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $107M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Pharos Energy plc pay a dividend?
Pharos Energy plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pharos Energy plc would have to grow free cash flow by -22.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOCLF use?
Our models discount Pharos Energy plc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pharos Energy plc that is -22.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pharos Energy plc grew -3.8 % a year. The price currently implies -22.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pharos Energy plc (-22.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.44 %: that much free cash flow Pharos Energy plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pharos Energy plc it is $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.4000. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pharos Energy plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SOCLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.4000, fair value $0.2600, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOCLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2600). For Pharos Energy plc the two are $0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pharos Energy plc worth?
The market values Pharos Energy plc at about $165M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.4000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOCLF?
Our models span a range for Pharos Energy plc: cautious scenario $0.2100, base $0.2600, optimistic $0.3100 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.4000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SOCLF?
The PEG ratio of Pharos Energy plc is 6.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pharos Energy plc (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −2.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOCLF from its 52-week high?
Pharos Energy plc trades at $0.4000, about 7% below its 52-week high of $0.4300 and 72% above the low of $0.2328 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pharos Energy plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pharos Energy plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.4000, calculated fair value $0.2600 (−35%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOCLF calculated?
We run Pharos Energy plc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Pharos Energy plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Pharos Energy plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Pharos Energy plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The market capitalisation of Pharos Energy plc is $165M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pharos Energy plc is 1.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Earnings per share at Pharos Energy plc are $−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The dividend yield of Pharos Energy plc is 4.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The net margin of Pharos Energy plc is −5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pharos Energy plc is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pharos Energy plc is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
The operating margin of Pharos Energy plc is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Revenue at Pharos Energy plc is growing −31.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF)?
Earnings per share at Pharos Energy plc are growing +777% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Pharos Energy plc (SOCLF) hold?
Pharos Energy plc holds more cash than debt, $40.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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