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Nxera Pharma Co (SOLTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $584M

NP Nxera Pharma Co logo Nxera Pharma Co SOLTF · US
Price$5.01
Fair Value$6.11
Upside+22.0%
Quality34/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -29.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Low Range $4.03 – $7.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $6.34 to $6.11 (−3.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −16.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($4.03 to $7.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$59.26 $4.91 Fair Value $6.11 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.91 – $59.26 · fair‑value band $4.03 – $7.64 · the $5.01 price screens below the $6.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nxera Pharma Co (SOLTF) currently trades at $5.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.11, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nxera Pharma Co generated revenue of $34.2B at a net margin of -29.2%. Revenue grew 69.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.3%. Net debt stands at $37.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.03 (bear case) to $7.64 (bull case); at $5.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 22%, SOLTF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.56 $6.11 $9.12 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.56 $6.11 $9.12 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $34.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +69.4%
Net margin -29.2%
Return on equity -15.3%
Free cash flow −$3.1B FY2025
Operating margin 28.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.8600
EPS growth (YoY) +27.0%
Net debt $37.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, engages in drug discovery and development in Japan, the United States, Germany, Switzerland, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Full company description

Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, engages in drug discovery and development in Japan, the United States, Germany, Switzerland, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers NxWave, a GPCR-targeted structure-based drug discovery platform; PIVLAZ for the cerebral vasospasm, vasospasm-related cerebral infarction, and cerebral ischemic symptoms after aSAH; and QUVIVIQ for insomnia. It develops NBI-1117568, an muscarinic M4 agonist in phase 3 trial for schizophrenia, dementia and other neuropsychiatric disorders; ORX750, an OX2 agonist for narcolepsy, idiopathic hypersomnia, and other sleep-wake disorders; NBI-1117570, a dual muscarinic M1/M4 agonist; and HTL0039732, an EP4 antagonist immunotherapy drug. The company's products in phase 1 trial include PF-07054894, a CCR6 antagonist and NXE0033744, an EP4 agonist for inflammatory bowel disease; PF-07258669, a MC4 antagonist for anorexia; NBI-1117569, a muscarinic M4-preferring agonist, and NBI-1117567, a muscarinic M1 agonist for major central nervous system disorders; TMP-301, a mGlu5 NAM for substance use disorders; and NXE0048149, a GPR52 agonist for schizophrenia. Its products in preclinical trial comprise KY1051, a CXCR4 mAb for immuno-oncology; and NXE0027477, a GPR35 agonist for inflammatory bowel disease and GI disorders. The company also develops other discovery-stage drugs. It has strategic collaborations with Tempero Bio, Pharmenable Therapeutics, Antiverse, Sanofi, Cancer Research UK, Centessa Pharmaceuticals, Lilly, AbbVie, Genentech, Pfizer, Neurocrine Biosciences, Antiverse, and Novartis International AG. The company was formerly known as Sosei Group Corporation. Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nxera Pharma Co reported revenue of $29.6B in FY2025 versus $17.7B in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$12.5B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.6B
Latest YoY
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+25.7%
Revenue +13.7%/yr
FY21 $17.7B
FY22 $15.6B
FY23 $12.8B
FY24 $28.8B
FY25 $29.6B
Net income
FY21 $1.0B
FY22 $382M
FY23 −$7.2B
FY24 −$4.8B
FY25 −$12.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nxera Pharma Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOLTF

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 69% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 61 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nxera Pharma Co (SOLTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.11 versus a price of $5.01, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOLTF?
Our model-based fair value for Nxera Pharma Co is $6.11 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.01.
What is the quality score of SOLTF?
Nxera Pharma Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nxera Pharma Co (SOLTF)?
Nxera Pharma Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $34.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOLTF?
The net profit margin of Nxera Pharma Co is about -29.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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