Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sotkamo Silver AB €0.14, price €0.42, upside -67.9%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.0328 – €0.7020 · fair‑value band €0.0935 – €0.2380 · the €0.4230 price screens above the €0.1360 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Sotkamo Silver AB, a mining and ore prospecting company, develops and utilizes mineral deposits in the Kainuu region in Finland. The company primarily explores for silver, gold, lead, and zinc deposits. It holds interest in the silver mine project located in Sotkamo, Finland. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1) currently trades at €0.4230, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1360, implying the stock looks roughly 211.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €0.9900 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the €0.4230 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.4800, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.0935 (bear) to €0.2380 (bull), the price of €0.4230 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Sotkamo Silver AB reported revenue of 392M SEK in FY2025 versus 387M SEK in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −52.6M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €140M · P/E ratio 42.3 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) €0.0100 · Net margin −13.4% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Revenue (TTM) 369M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 386% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −71% fair-value upside, at −68%, SOSI1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.0935Fair Value €0.1360Bull €0.2380
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +124.8% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.6% (2020) → 2.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+47.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +44.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Silver” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3633 stocks
Beats the sector median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth169% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.61× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)42.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF5.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA1.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)18· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)69· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sotkamo Silver AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOSI1
Frequently asked questions
Is Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1360 versus a price of €0.4230, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOSI1?
Our model-based fair value for Sotkamo Silver AB is €0.1360 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.4230.
What is the quality score of SOSI1?
Sotkamo Silver AB has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.1360 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.0935, optimistic scenario €0.2380. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sotkamo Silver AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.1360, about −68% upside versus a price of €0.4230 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.0935, optimistic scenario €0.2380. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Sotkamo Silver AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 369M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sotkamo Silver AB would have to grow free cash flow by +47.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOSI1 use?
Our models discount Sotkamo Silver AB at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 2.42, country premium for Finland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sotkamo Silver AB that is +47.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sotkamo Silver AB grew +1.4 % a year. The price currently implies +47.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sotkamo Silver AB (+47.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.76 %: that much free cash flow Sotkamo Silver AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sotkamo Silver AB it is €0.1360 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.4230. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sotkamo Silver AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SOSI1 trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.4230, fair value €0.1360, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOSI1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.4230); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.1360). For Sotkamo Silver AB the two are €0.2870 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sotkamo Silver AB worth?
The market values Sotkamo Silver AB at about €140M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.4230; our models calculate a fair value of €0.1360 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOSI1?
Our models span a range for Sotkamo Silver AB: cautious scenario €0.0935, base €0.1360, optimistic €0.2380 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.4230). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOSI1?
Sotkamo Silver AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.1360 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sotkamo Silver AB (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOSI1 from its 52-week high?
Sotkamo Silver AB trades at €0.4230, about 40% below its 52-week high of €0.7020 and 386% above the low of €0.0870 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.1360 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sotkamo Silver AB?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value First Majestic Silver Corp, Discovery Silver Corp, Aya Gold & Silver Inc, Silvercorp Metals Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sotkamo Silver AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.4230, calculated fair value €0.1360 (−68%), Quality Score 26/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOSI1 calculated?
We run Sotkamo Silver AB through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.1360, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sotkamo Silver AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.4230. Our model-based fair value is €0.1360, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sotkamo Silver AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.2380). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.0935 to €0.2380) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sotkamo Silver AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
The market capitalisation of Sotkamo Silver AB is €140M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sotkamo Silver AB is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Earnings per share at Sotkamo Silver AB are €0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
The net margin of Sotkamo Silver AB is −13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sotkamo Silver AB is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sotkamo Silver AB is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Revenue at Sotkamo Silver AB is growing +169% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1)?
Earnings per share at Sotkamo Silver AB are growing −90.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sotkamo Silver AB (SOSI1) carry?
The net debt of Sotkamo Silver AB is 203M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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