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Silvercorp Metals Inc (SVM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.1B

SM Silvercorp Metals Inc logo Silvercorp Metals Inc SVM · US
Price$11.45
Fair Value$18.32
Upside+60.0%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: Medium Range $13.09 – $22.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $13.32 to $18.32 (+37.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +25.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.69 $1.99 Fair Value $18.32 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.99 – $15.69 · fair‑value band $13.09 – $22.43 · the $11.45 price screens below the $18.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc (SVM) currently trades at $11.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.32, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Silvercorp Metals Inc generated revenue of $438M at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue grew 96.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $304M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.09 (bear case) to $22.43 (bull case); at $11.45, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -80% fair-value upside, at 60%, SVM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $11.56 $19.19 $31.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.16 $8.46 $11.53 74
ROIC Compounder $9.80 $12.46 $15.77 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.72 $20.32 $35.17 38
5Y Revenue Exit $6.16 $8.39 $11.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.36 $17.25 $25.95 41
10Y Revenue Exit $7.91 $10.70 $14.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.73 $17.13 $26.97 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $8.78 $9.95 $10.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2200 $0.4300 $0.6600 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2200 $0.3700 $0.4600 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $12.19 $15.78 $19.38 53
EV/EBITDA $10.35 $13.34 $16.33 54
EV/Revenue $3.47 $4.36 $5.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.13 $2.85 $4.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.56 $19.19 $31.74 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.16 $8.46 $11.53 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $9.80 $12.46 $15.77 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($17.13) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $438M
Revenue growth (YoY) +96.2%
Net margin -2.3%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow $181M FY2026
Operating margin 62.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -31.7%
Net cash $304M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc.

Full company description

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Silvercorp Metals Inc reported revenue of $438M in FY2026 versus $218M in FY2022, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.9M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$438M
Latest YoY
+46.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+28.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+13.5%
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY22 $218M
FY23 $208M
FY24 $215M
FY25 $299M
FY26 $438M
Net income
FY22 $30.6M
FY23 $20.6M
FY24 $36.3M
FY25 $58.2M
FY26 −$9.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silvercorp Metals Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVM

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Materials · 3525 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Silver” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 63% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 96% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 3
FUTURE 100 · sector 7
PAST 14 · sector 11
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Silver stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Majestic Silver Corp AG $16.95 $5.78 -66%
Aya Gold & Silver Inc AYA C$26.29 C$5.40 -79%
Endeavour Silver Corp EXK $8.08 $1.24 -85%
Highlander Silver Corp HSLV $4.59 $0.4900 -89%
Andean Precious Metals Corp APM C$5.86 C$11.55 +97%
Sotkamo Silver AB SOSI1 €0.3460 €0.1700 -51%
Apollo Silver Corp APGO C$2.60 C$0.5200 -80%
Minaurum Silver Inc MGG C$0.2900 C$0.0400 -86%
Excellon Resources Inc EXN C$0.3000 C$0.0500 -83%
Argenta Silver Corp AGAG C$0.5300 C$0.0600 -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Silvercorp Metals Inc (SVM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.32 versus a price of $11.45, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SVM?
Our model-based fair value for Silvercorp Metals Inc is $18.32 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.45.
What is the quality score of SVM?
Silvercorp Metals Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Silvercorp Metals Inc (SVM)?
Silvercorp Metals Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $438M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SVM?
The net profit margin of Silvercorp Metals Inc is about -2.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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