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Aya Gold & Silver Inc (AYA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.8B

Price$18.21
Fair Value$6.36
Upside-65.1%
Quality89/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.77 – $7.95

Analysis

Aya Gold & Silver Inc (AYA) currently trades at $18.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.36 — implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 89/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship project holds 100% interests in the Zgounder property located east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco covering an area of approximately 378 square kilometers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mount Royal, Canada.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.