Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Apollo Silver Corp C$0.52, price C$2.75, upside -81.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.4000 – C$6.76 · fair‑value band C$0.3400 – C$0.6500 · the C$2.75 price screens above the C$0.5200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Apollo Silver Corp. explores and develops silver properties in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Its flagship project is the Calico Project that covers an area of 8,283 acres located in Mojave Desert of San Bernardino County, California. The company was formerly known as Apollo Gold & Silver Corp. and changed its name to Apollo Silver Corp.
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Apollo Silver Corp. explores and develops silver properties in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Its flagship project is the Calico Project that covers an area of 8,283 acres located in Mojave Desert of San Bernardino County, California. The company was formerly known as Apollo Gold & Silver Corp. and changed its name to Apollo Silver Corp. in September 2021. Apollo Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) currently trades at C$2.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5200, 81.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: C$0.3400 (bear) to C$0.6500 (bull), the price of C$2.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Apollo Silver Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$9.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$224M (≈ $157M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.2800 · Return on equity −46.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.2% · Free cash flow −C$8.8M · Net cash C$3.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at −81%, APGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.3400Fair Value C$0.5200Bull C$0.6500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.4%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+130.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−26.0% (2004) → −7.9% (2009)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (56 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Silver” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3308 stocks
Beats the sector median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−80.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−30.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.5200 versus a price of C$2.75, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of APGO?
Our model-based fair value for Apollo Silver Corp is C$0.5200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.75.
What is the quality score of APGO?
Apollo Silver Corp has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.5200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3400, optimistic scenario C$0.6500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Apollo Silver Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.5200, about −81% upside versus a price of C$2.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3400, optimistic scenario C$0.6500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Apollo Silver Corp it is C$0.5200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$2.75. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Apollo Silver Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, APGO trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.75, fair value C$0.5200, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of APGO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.5200). For Apollo Silver Corp the two are C$2.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Apollo Silver Corp worth?
The market values Apollo Silver Corp at about C$224M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$2.75; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.5200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about APGO?
Our models span a range for Apollo Silver Corp: cautious scenario C$0.3400, base C$0.5200, optimistic C$0.6500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$2.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Apollo Silver Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −46.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is APGO from its 52-week high?
Apollo Silver Corp trades at C$2.75, about 59% below its 52-week high of C$6.76 and 12% above the low of C$2.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.5200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Apollo Silver Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value First Majestic Silver Corp, Discovery Silver Corp, Aya Gold & Silver Inc, Hunan Silver Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Apollo Silver Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$2.75, calculated fair value C$0.5200 (−81%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of APGO calculated?
We run Apollo Silver Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.5200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Apollo Silver Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$2.75. Our model-based fair value is C$0.5200, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Apollo Silver Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.6500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.3400 to C$0.6500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Apollo Silver Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
The market capitalisation of Apollo Silver Corp is C$224M (≈ $157M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
Earnings per share at Apollo Silver Corp are C$−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Apollo Silver Corp is −46.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Apollo Silver Corp (APGO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Apollo Silver Corp is −29.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) generate?
The free cash flow of Apollo Silver Corp is −C$8.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) hold?
Apollo Silver Corp holds more cash than debt, C$3.4M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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