Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$184M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from C$1.58 to C$0.5200 (−67.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.6500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.3400 to C$0.6500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.4000 – C$6.76 · fair‑value band C$0.3400 – C$0.6500 · the C$3.14 price screens above the C$0.5200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Apollo Silver Corp (APGO) currently trades at C$3.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5200, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
It earns a return on equity of -43.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$3.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.3400 (bear case) to C$0.6500 (bull case); at C$3.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -79% fair-value upside, at -83%, APGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Apollo Silver Corp. explores and develops silver properties in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Its flagship project is the Calico Project that covers an area of 8,283 acres located in Mojave Desert of San Bernardino County, California. The company was formerly known as Apollo Gold & Silver Corp. and changed its name to Apollo Silver Corp.
Full company description
Apollo Silver Corp. explores and develops silver properties in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Its flagship project is the Calico Project that covers an area of 8,283 acres located in Mojave Desert of San Bernardino County, California. The company was formerly known as Apollo Gold & Silver Corp. and changed its name to Apollo Silver Corp. in September 2021. Apollo Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Apollo Silver Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$9.4M in FY2025.
APGO screens 83% overvalued. Compare with First Majestic Silver Corp →
Peer Group
Materials · 3496 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Silver” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Materials median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Silver stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Majestic Silver Corp AG | $16.95 | $5.78 | -66% |
| Aya Gold & Silver Inc AYA | C$26.29 | C$5.40 | -79% |
| Endeavour Silver Corp EXK | $8.08 | $1.24 | -85% |
| Silvercorp Metals Inc SVM | $9.52 | $13.32 | +40% |
| Highlander Silver Corp HSLV | $4.59 | $0.4900 | -89% |
| Andean Precious Metals Corp APM | C$5.86 | C$11.55 | +97% |
| Sotkamo Silver AB SOSI1 | €0.3460 | €0.1700 | -51% |
| Minaurum Silver Inc MGG | C$0.2900 | C$0.0400 | -86% |
| Excellon Resources Inc EXN | C$0.3000 | C$0.0500 | -83% |
| Argenta Silver Corp AGAG | C$0.5300 | C$0.0600 | -89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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