Andean Precious Metals Corp (APM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$883M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from C$10.40 to C$4.04 (−61.1%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +32.0% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$5.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (C$2.13 to C$5.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range C$1.12 – C$11.61 · fair‑value band C$2.13 – C$5.03 · the C$7.26 price screens above the C$4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Andean Precious Metals Corp (APM) currently trades at C$7.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Andean Precious Metals Corp generated revenue of C$461M at a net margin of 32.9%. Revenue grew 163.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 63.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$34.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$2.13 (bear case) to C$5.03 (bull case); at C$7.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 178% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -80% fair-value upside, at -44%, APM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$35.38) versus Asset-Based (C$1.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Andean Precious Metals Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and processing of mineral resource properties in the United States. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. It holds 100% interest in San Bartolomé project in Bolivia; and the Soledad Mountain mine and heap leach located in Kern County, California.
Full company description
Andean Precious Metals Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and processing of mineral resource properties in the United States. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. It holds 100% interest in San Bartolomé project in Bolivia; and the Soledad Mountain mine and heap leach located in Kern County, California. The company is based in Toronto, Canada. Andean Precious Metals Corp. operates as a subsidiary of PMB Partners LP.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Andean Precious Metals Corp reported revenue of C$360M in FY2025 versus C$144M in FY2021, a compound +25.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$118M in FY2025, compounding +129.4%/yr from FY2021.
APM screens 44% overvalued. Compare with First Majestic Silver Corp →
Peer Group
Basic Materials · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Silver” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Basic Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Silver stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Majestic Silver Corp AG | $16.95 | $5.78 | -66% |
| Aya Gold & Silver Inc AYA | C$26.29 | C$5.40 | -79% |
| Endeavour Silver Corp EXK | $8.08 | $1.24 | -85% |
| Silvercorp Metals Inc SVM | $9.52 | $13.32 | +40% |
| Highlander Silver Corp HSLV | $4.59 | $0.4900 | -89% |
| Sotkamo Silver AB SOSI1 | €0.3460 | €0.1700 | -51% |
| Apollo Silver Corp APGO | C$2.60 | C$0.5200 | -80% |
| Minaurum Silver Inc MGG | C$0.2900 | C$0.0400 | -86% |
| Excellon Resources Inc EXN | C$0.3000 | C$0.0500 | -83% |
| Argenta Silver Corp AGAG | C$0.5300 | C$0.0600 | -89% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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